Two large strike‐slip ruptures 11.4 hours apart occurred on intersecting, nearly orthogonal, vertical faults during the November 1987 Superstition Hills earthquake sequence in southern California. This sequence is the latest in a northwestward progression of earthquakes (1979, 1981, and 1987) rupturing a set of parallel left‐lateral cross‐faults that trend northeast between the Brawley seismic zone and Superstition Hills fault, a northwest trending main strand of the San Jacinto fault zone. The first large event (MS=6.2) in the 1987 sequence ruptured the Elmore Ranch fault, a cross‐fault that strikes northeasterly between the Brawley seismic zone and the Superstition Hills main fault. The second event (MS=6.6) initiated its rupture at the intersection of the cross‐fault and main fault and propagated towards the southeast along the main fault. The following hypotheses are advanced; (1) slip on the cross‐fault locally decreased normal stress on the main fault, and triggered the main fault rupture after a delay; and (2) the delay was caused by fluid diffusion. It is inferred that the observed northwestward progression of ruptures on cross‐faults may continue. The next cross‐fault expected to rupture intersects both the San Andreas fault and the San Jacinto fault zone. We hypothesize that rupture of this cross‐fault may trigger rupture on either of these main faults by a mechanism similar to that which occurred in the Superstition Hills earthquake sequence.
Volcanic eruptions involving interaction with water are amongst the most violent and unpredictable geologic phenomena on Earth. Phreatic eruptions are exceptionally difficult to forecast by traditional geophysical techniques. Here we report on short-term precursory variations in gas emissions related to phreatic blasts at Poás volcano, Costa Rica, as measured with an in situ multiple gas analyzer that was deployed at the edge of the erupting lake. Gas emitted from this hyper-acid crater lake approaches magmatic values of SO2/CO2 1–6 days prior to eruption. The SO2 flux derived from magmatic degassing through the lake is measureable by differential optical absorption spectrometry (sporadic campaign measurements), which allows us to constrain lake gas output and input for the major gas species during eruptive and non-eruptive periods. We can further calculate power supply to the hydrothermal system using volatile mass balance and thermodynamics, which indicates that the magmatic heat flux into the shallow hydrothermal system increases from ∼27 MW during quiescence to ∼59 MW during periods of phreatic events. These transient pulses of gas and heat from the deeper magmatic system generate both phreatic eruptions and the observed short-term changes in gas composition, because at high gas flux scrubbing of sulfur by the hydrothermal system is both kinetically and thermodynamically inhibited whereas CO2 gas is always essentially inert in hyperacid conditions. Thus, the SO2/CO2 of lake emissions approaches magmatic values as gas and power supply to the sub-limnic hydrothermal system increase, vaporizing fluids and priming the hydrothermal system for eruption. Our results suggest that high-frequency real-time gas monitoring could provide useful short-term eruptive precursors at volcanoes prone to phreatic explosions
scite is a Brooklyn-based organization that helps researchers better discover and understand research articles through Smart Citations–citations that display the context of the citation and describe whether the article provides supporting or contrasting evidence. scite is used by students and researchers from around the world and is funded in part by the National Science Foundation and the National Institute on Drug Abuse of the National Institutes of Health.