In 3 of 15 consecutive patients receiving a human leukocyte antigen (HLA)-identical but major ABO incompatible bone marrow transplant (BMT), pure red cell aplasia (PRA) lasting 5 to 8 months was observed. Titers of the incompatible anti-A agglutinin before infusion of the red blood cell (RBC)-depleted BMT was very high in one, and in the usual range in two patients. Decrease of agglutinin titers during the first 4 weeks after BMT were comparable between PRA patients and those of ABO- incompatible BMT recipients with timely RBC recovery. However, in PRA patients, agglutinin titers rose again and remained elevated for 19 to 28 weeks. RBC engraftment and reticulocyte recovery ultimately occurred spontaneously and coincided with the decrease of agglutinin titers below 16. These observations indicate that PRA is antibody-dependent in this setting. Furthermore, it is conceivable that cyclosporine facilitates recipient-derived antibody synthesis after major ABO- incompatible BMT.

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To study prognostic factors 38 consecutive patients with aplastic anemia were evaluated until death or over a follow-up period of at least 4 years. A prognostic formula was devised by multivariate analysis for prediction of short-term survivors at diagnosis of aplastic anemia: Using the initial percentage of nonmyeloid cells in the marrow aspirate and the neutrophil count in peripheral blood, survival of less than 4 months is predicted with a probability of 89% (sensitivity 80%). The lowest blood counts during the course of the disease are useful to predict the outcome in more chronic courses of aplastic anemia: A reticulocytopenia below 5 × 10⁹/1, a neutropenia below 0.1 × 10⁹/1 or a thrombocytopenia below 5 × 10⁹/1 all resulted in an ultimate mortality of over 90%. However, if none of these threshold values were reached, a 4 year survival of 71 % was observed. Thus, 5× 10⁹ reticulocytes/1, 0.1 × 10⁹ neutrophils/1 and 5× 10⁹ platelets/1 form a group of risk factors to predict a fatal or favorable outcome throughout the course of the disease.