In this paper, the predictive microbiology approach has been generalized to the study of growth, survival and death of Listeria monocytogenes. As this micro-organism is involved in food poisoning, its growth, survival and death were studied as functions of low temperatures, NaCl and phenol compounds, in a synthetic medium, by a factorially designed experiment. A significant inactivation of L. monocytogenes was obtained with 20 ppm of phenol and 4% (w/v) NaCl at temperatures from 4 to 12 degrees C. An empirical model is proposed to describe, in a single step, the biomass profile vs studied factors. Thereby, the influence of temperature, NaCl and phenol concentration on L. monocytogenes biomass quantity (0.5-8 log cfu ml(-1)) are presented as a function of storage duration. The comparisons of the proposed model with existing models (Gompertz for growth, vitalistic for survival and death) were performed. The use of a single equation allows the prediction of contamination levels in all experimental conditions without knowledge a priori. The model offers considerable prospects for its use in food microbiology.

The growth, survival, and death of Listeria monocytogenes were studied in a synthetic medium as a function of temperature, NaCl content, and amount of liquid smoke, and the findings were validated in smoked fish products. The smoke preservative compound was simulated by adding liquid smoke, and the concentration was expressed as phenol concentration. The growth of L. monocytogenes was limited at a temperature as low as 4 degrees C or at a phenol concentration as high as 20 ppm. The predicted values were obtained using a mathematical model established in liquid medium in a previous study. They accurately fit values observed in L. monocytogenes challenge tests on smoked fish. After 21 days of storage the deviation between the predicted and experimental values was within 0.5 log for 60% of the data. This model may be useful in predicting Listeria contamination in smoked fish. Moreover, this study emphasizes the importance of phenol concentration to control the growth of Listeria spp. in smoked food products.