BackgroundPap cytology is known to be more specific but less sensitive than testing for human papillomavirus (HPV) for the detection of high-grade cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN2+). We assessed whether p16/Ki-67 dual-stained cytology, a biomarker combination indicative of transforming HPV infections, can provide high sensitivity for CIN2+ in screening while maintaining high specificity. Results were compared with Pap cytology and HPV testing.MethodsA total of 27349 women 18 years or older attending routine cervical cancer screening were prospectively enrolled in five European countries. Pap cytology, p16/Ki-67 immunostaining, and HPV testing were performed on all women. Positive test results triggered colposcopy referral, except for women younger than 30 years with only positive HPV test results. Presence of CIN2+ on adjudicated histology was used as the reference standard. Two-sided bias-corrected McNemar P values were determined.ResultsThe p16/Ki-67 dual-stained cytology positivity rates were comparable with the prevalence of abnormal Pap cytology results and less than 50% of the positivity rates observed for HPV testing. In women of all ages, dual-stained cytology was more sensitive than Pap cytology (86.7% vs 68.5%; P < .001) for detecting CIN2+, with comparable specificity (95.2% vs 95.4%; P = .15). The relative performance of the tests was similar in both groups of women: younger than age 30 and 30 years or older. HPV testing in women 30 years or older was more sensitive than dual-stained cytology (93.3% vs 84.7%; P = .03) but less specific (93.0% vs 96.2%; P < .001).ConclusionsThe p16/Ki-67 dual-stained cytology combines superior sensitivity and noninferior specificity over Pap cytology for detecting CIN2+. It suggests a potential role of dual-stained cytology in screening, especially in younger women where HPV testing has its limitations.

The immunohistochemical expression of p16 in formalin-fixed and paraffin-embedded histological sections was evaluated in a retrospective study comprising a low-grade group of 100 cases of cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN) 1, a high-grade group of 50 cases of CIN 2 to 3, and a benign group of 50 cases of normal tissue or benign lesions in the uterine cervix. The cases were consecutive within each group and had a minimum follow-up period of 5 years. Positive reaction for p16 was detected in all cases in the high-grade group and in only 3 cases in the benign group. In the low-grade group, a total of 9 cases had to be excluded. The remaining 91 cases in the low-grade group showed positive reaction for p16 in 65 cases (71%), including 23 cases that progressed to a high-grade lesion, 36 cases that revealed normal cytological and/or histological picture during the follow-up period, and 6 cases that persisted as CIN 1. A total of 26 cases (29%) in the low-grade group showed negative reaction for p16. All but one of these p16 negative cases in the low-grade group had a benign or normal outcome. This case showed a high-grade lesion in the follow-up period and was probably a high-grade lesion from the beginning and so underestimated as CIN 1. These results reveal that the negative predictive value of p16 to predict the outcome of the cases of CIN 1 is as high as 96%, which strongly suggest an important role of p16 in the assessment of this type of lesion.

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