The term "moving regression" is due to Brown et al.

Our focus here is on time-series regression as a formal analytic tool in social historical inquiry. We have three interrelated purposes. First, we argue that conventional time-series regression is typically ill-suited for social historical inquiry because ahistorical assumptions and conventions regarding time undermine the historical character of social "process-as-analyzed". Second, we present a modified time-series approach -temporally recursive regression -that takes time seriously and provides a more adequate analytic vehicle for social historical inquiry. Finally, we illustrate the promise of temporally recursive regression by using it to analyze how workplace militancy in post-war America was fueled by massive insurgency waves during successive phases of the civil rights movement. A H I S T O R I C A L C H A R A C T E R OF C O N V E N T I O N A L T I M E -S E R I E S R E G R E S S I O N 1Conventional time-series regression contains a conception of time that is ahistorical in character. 2 It is fairly termed ahistorical, we believe, because time enters the analysis solely as a means of analysis, an instrumental marker for purposes of ordering the time unit observations (e.g. years). Treating time, and therefore history, as simply means rather than also object of analysis shapes the practice of conventional time-series regression in such a way that unduly masks significant historical context, meaning and nuance in social process. Simply put, ahistorical time severely limits what conventional * We thank Larry Griffin and Marcel van der Linden for comments on prior versions of the paper. Isaac's co-authors are listed in alphabetical order. 1. This section draws on: Larry

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