SYNOPSIS
We document a phenomenon that, along with the increasing trend of negative earnings, the frequency and the magnitude of negative book value of equity have also grown substantially over time. Although negative-book-value firms are commonly perceived as financially distressed, we find that the majority of these firms survive for a long time, and that many continue to report negative book value for several years. Over the most recent decade of our 30-year test period, 1976–2005, we find that based on per-dollar of assets, the market, on average, prices negative-book-value firms higher than positive-book-value firms. In addition, we discover that the correlation between market value and book value for negative-book-value firms is negative. Searching for explanations of these phenomena, we examine R&D expenditures of negative-book-value firms. Our results indicate that R&D, especially R&D accumulated over time, not only contributes to the increasing trend of negative-book-value incidences, but also plays an important role in the market's valuation of firms that concurrently report negative earnings and negative book value.
Data Availability: The authors will make their data available for use by others in extending or replicating results reported in this article.
This study examines the effect of the degree of association between current earnings and expected future earnings on the relative importance of earnings and book value for explaining equity price. Consensus analysts forecasts of one-year-ahead earnings are used to proxy for expected future earnings and are compared to reported current earnings to measure the degree of the association. We find that the value-relevance of current earnings negatively correlates with the extent to which consensus analysts forecasts deviate from current earnings. We also find that the "incremental" explanatory power of book value for equity price positively correlates with this measure. These results remain robust after controlling for factors known to be affecting the value-relevance of earnings such as negative earnings and the earnings-to-book ratio. Our results also show that this analysts' forecast-based measure of `earnings persistence' dominates historical earnings variance in explaining cross-sectional variations in the value-relevance of earnings and book value. Copyright Blackwell Publishers Ltd 2002.
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