Unlike neighboring disciplines, anthropology rarely studies how actual future events affect current behavior. Such studies could lay the groundwork for studies of ethnoforecasting. Psychologists argue that people forecast poorly, but some empirical work in cultural anthropology suggests that at least with weather, rural people might make reasonably accurate forecasts. Using data from a smallscale, pre-industrial rural society in the Bolivian Amazon, this study estimates the effects of future weather on the current collection of planted crops and wildlife. If actual future events affect current behavior, then this would suggest that people must forecast accurately. Longitudinal data covering 11 consecutive months (10/2002-8/2003, inclusive) from 311 women and 326 men ≥age 14 in 13 villages of a contemporary society of forager-farmers in Bolivia's Amazon (Tsimane') are used. Individual fixed-effect panel linear regressions are used to estimate the effect of future weather (mean hourly temperature and total daily rain) over the next 1-7 days from today on the probability of collecting wildlife (game, fish, and feral plants excluding firewood) and planted farm crops (annuals and perennials) today. Daily weather records come from a town next to the Tsimane' territory and data on foraging and farming come from scans (behavioral spot observations) and surveys of study participants done during scans. Short-term future weather (≤3 days) affected the probability of collecting planted crops and wildlife today, although the effect was greater on the amount of planted crops harvested today than on the amount of wildlife Hum Ecol (TAPS Bolivia Study Team Tsimane' Amazonian Panel Study, San Borja, Beni, Bolivia collected today. Future weather beyond 3 days bore no significant association with the amount of planted crops harvested today nor with the amount of wildlife collected today. After controlling for future and past weather, today's weather (mean hourly temperature, but not rain) affected the probability of collecting wildlife today, but today's weather (temperature or rain) did not affect the probability of collecting planted crops today. The study supports prior work by anthropologists suggesting that rural people forecast accurately. If future weather affects the probability of harvesting planted crops and collecting wildlife today, then this suggests that Tsimane' must forecast accurately. We discuss possible reasons for the finding. The study also supports growing evidence from rural areas of low-income nations that rural people tend to protect their food production and food consumption well against small idiosyncratic shocks or, in our case, against ordinary daily weather that is not extreme. However, the greater responsiveness of daily foraging output compared with daily farming output to today's weather suggests that foraging might not protect food consumption as well as farming against adverse climate perturbations.
Purpose: The government of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (KP) launched Women Empowerment Policy (WEP) in 2017, the policy was based on the Women Empowerment Policy Framework (WEP-Framework) of 2014. Several policy interventions were planned to be achieved during the five-year implementation of WEP-2017.
Approach: This study aimed to analyze WEP-2017 from three distinct perspectives: 1) the formation of WEP-2017 as a strategic policy document focusing on the analysis of the identified key performing areas, the designed objectives, and the planned interventions/activities, 2) the linkage of WEP-2017 as a policy document with the annual fund's allocation of the govt. through annual development on gender mainstreaming interventions and 3) the implementation gap analysis of WEP-2017 by reviewing and comparing the post-2017 sectoral strategies of Agriculture, Education, Health, and Industry sectors with that of WEP-2017.
Findings: The study concluded that WEP-2017 objectives are non-quantifiable and specific, similarly no linkage between govt. funds allocation with WEP-2017 schemes was determined.
Value: The mentioned factors along with lack of advocacy and awareness within the govt. departments led to the non-achievement of the intended objectives of WEP-2017.
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