BackgroundThe Schmallenberg virus (SBV) emerged in Europe in 2011 and caused a widespread epidemic in ruminants.In France, SBV emergence was monitored through a national multi-stakeholder surveillance and investigation system. Based on the monitoring data collected from January 2012 to August 2013, we describe the spread of SBV in France during two seasons of dissemination (vector seasons 2011 and 2012) and we provide a large-scale assessment of the impact of this new disease in ruminants.ResultsSBV impact in infected herds was primarily due to the birth of stillborns or deformed foetuses and neonates. Congenital SBV morbidity level was on average moderate, although higher in sheep than in other ruminant species. On average, 8% of lambs, 3% of calves and 2% of kids born in SBV-infected herds showed typical congenital SBV deformities. In addition, in infected herds, farmers reported retrospectively a lower prolificacy during the vector season, suggesting a potential impact of acute SBV infection during mating and early stages of gestation.ConclusionsDue to the lack of available control and prevention measures, SBV spread quickly in the naive ruminant population. France continues to monitor for SBV, and updated information is made available online on a regular basis [http://www.plateforme-esa.fr/]. Outbreaks of congenital SBV are expected to occur sporadically from now on, but further epidemics may also occur if immunity at population level declines.
ObjectivesWhile several studies have highlighted and quantified human mortality during the major heat waves that struck Western Europe in 2003 and 2006, the impact on farm animals has been overlooked. The aim of this study was to assess the effect of these two events on cattle mortality in France, one of the most severely impacted countries.MethodsPoisson regressions were used to model the national baseline for cattle mortality between 2004 and 2005 and predict the weekly number of expected deaths in 2003 and 2006 for the whole cattle population and by subpopulation based on age and type of production. Observed and estimated values were compared to identify and quantify excess mortality. The same approach was used at a departmental scale (a French department being an administrative and territorial division) to assess the spatio-temporal evolution of the mortality pattern.ResultsOverall, the models estimated relative excess mortality of 24% [95% confidence interval: 22–25%] for the two-week heat wave of 2003, and 12% [11–14%] for the three-week heat wave of 2006. In 2003, most cattle subpopulations were impacted during the heat wave and some in the following weeks too. In 2006, cattle subpopulations were impacted for a limited time only, with no excess mortality at the beginning or after the heat wave. No marked differences in cattle mortality were found among the different subpopulations by age and type of production. The implications of these results for risk prevention are discussed.
National Cattle Registers have been widely used to examine animal movements and their role in disease transmission, but less frequently for other epidemiological applications. Our study shows how routinely collected identification data can be used to evaluate the population impact of an epidemic in cattle and to derive an indirect estimate of the associated mortality. We adapted a method developed by Human health agencies, based on the modelling of historical mortality fluctuations, to analyze the evolution of mortality in a cattle population subjected to a Bluetongue serotype 8 (BT8) outbreak. Between 01/07/2007 and 01/07/2008, 21,017 cattle died in the considered population whereas 16,691 deaths were expected according to the model. 43% of the 4326 extra deaths were found in calves less than 7 days of age, but excess mortality was found in each age group. The temporal distribution of extra-deaths, described at a weekly scale, suggests that they were related to the BT8 epidemic. The presented method could be an appreciable tool for estimating the global burden of epidemics since it is based on data already routinely collected in each European Member State. This study was conducted retrospectively but considering the promptness of the notification system, the method could be used to monitor the evolution of epidemics in near-real time.
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