denotes emergency department, and IQR interquartile range. † Race was determined by the clinical team. ‡ Obesity was defined as a body-mass index (the weight in kilograms divided by the square of the height in meters) of 30 or higher.
Background: Some reports suggest that obesity could be a risk factor for complications in coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) (1). Several mechanisms could explain this. First, adipocytes, which activate the inflammatory cascade, can increase risk for thromboembolism and susceptibility to the cytokine storm described in COVID-19 (2). Second, obesity negatively affects lung mechanics, which could predispose obese persons to more severe respiratory distress and failure (3). Finally, obesity can alter mitochondrial bioenergetics in lung epithelial cells and increase risk for acute lung injury (4). However, some have suggested an obesity paradox in some critical illnesses, including acute respiratory distress syndrome, where patients with obesity may have improved outcomes; whether this phenomenon occurs in patients with COVID-19 is unclear (5). Objective: To study the association between obesity and outcomes among a diverse cohort of 1687 persons hospitalized with confirmed COVID-19 at 2 New York City hospitals. Methods and Findings: This retrospective observational cohort study included consecutive adults with confirmed COVID-19 who were hospitalized between 3 March and 15 May 2020 at an 862-bed quaternary referral center or a 180bed community hospital in New York City. We excluded 46 patients who did not have height or weight data available to calculate body mass index (BMI). Patient data were manually abstracted (1) from the electronic health record through 6 June 2020. We determined BMI on the basis of the most recent height and weight listed in the electronic health record. Height and weight were collected during hospitalization for 95.5% of the cohort; the remaining BMIs were collected during ambulatory encounters within 3 months of hospitalization. We defined BMI categories as underweight (<18.5 kg/m 2), normal (18.5 to 24.9 kg/m 2), overweight (25.0 to 29.9 kg/m 2), mild to moderate obesity (30.0 to 39.9 kg/m 2), and morbid obesity (≥40.0 kg/m 2). To examine the association between BMI and in-hospital mortality, we used a Cox proportional hazards model adjusted for age, sex, race, smoking, diabetes, hypertension, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, asthma, end-stage renal disease, coronary artery disease, heart failure, and cancer. These characteristics were chosen on the basis of risk factors for severe COVID-19 identified by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. We also examined for effect modification by age, sex, and race. To examine the association between BMI and respiratory failure, defined as a need for invasive mechanical ventilation, we used a Fine and Gray model to account for the competing risk for death and adjusted for the same 12 variables used in the model for mortality. We excluded the underweight group from this analysis because of low numbers. Finally, we repeated the adjusted Cox proportional hazards model analysis for mortality among persons with respiratory failure, again excluding the underweight group. To account for missing data (12% for race), we did multiple imputation.
Background Outcomes following heart failure ( HF ) hospitalizations are poor, with 90‐day mortality rates of 15% to 20%. Although prior studies found associations between individual social determinants of health ( SDOH ) and post‐discharge mortality, less is known about how an individuals’ total burden of SDOH affects 90‐day mortality. Methods and Results We included participants of the REGARDS ( Re asons for Geographic and Racial Differences in Stroke) Study who were Medicare beneficiaries aged ≥65 years discharged alive after an adjudicated HF hospitalization. Guided by the Healthy People 2020 Framework, we examined 9 SDOH . First, we examined age‐adjusted associations between each SDOH and 90‐day mortality; those associated with 90‐day mortality were used to create an SDOH count. Next, we determined the hazard of 90‐day mortality by the SDOH count, adjusting for confounders. Over 10 years, 690 participants were hospitalized for HF at 440 unique hospitals in the United States; there were a total of 79 deaths within 90 days. Overall, 28% of participants had 0 SDOH , 39% had 1, and 32% had ≥2. Compared with those with 0, the age‐adjusted hazard ratio for 90‐day mortality among those with 1 SDOH was 2.89 (95% CI, 1.46–5.72) and was 3.06 (1.51–6.19) among those with ≥2 SDOH . The adjusted hazard ratio was 2.78 (1.37–5.62) and 2.57 (1.19–5.54) for participants with 1 SDOH and ≥2, respectively. Conclusions While having any of the SDOH studied here markedly increased risk of 90‐day mortality after an HF hospitalization, a greater burden of SDOH was not associated with significantly greater risk in our population.
Obesity is an established risk factor for severe coronavirus disease 2019 , but the contribution of overweight and/or diabetes remains unclear. In a multicenter, international study, we investigated if overweight, obesity, and diabetes were independently associated with COVID-19 severity and whether the BMIassociated risk was increased among those with diabetes. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODSWe retrospectively extracted data from health care records and regional databases of hospitalized adult patients with COVID-19 from 18 sites in 11 countries. We used standardized definitions and analyses to generate site-specific estimates, modeling the odds of each outcome (supplemental oxygen/noninvasive ventilatory support, invasive mechanical ventilatory support, and in-hospital mortality) by BMI category (reference, overweight, obese), adjusting for age, sex, and prespecified comorbidities. Subgroup analysis was performed on patients with preexisting diabetes. Sitespecific estimates were combined in a meta-analysis. RESULTSAmong 7,244 patients (65.6% overweight/obese), those with overweight were more likely to require oxygen/noninvasive ventilatory support (random effects adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 1.44; 95% CI 1.15-1.80) and invasive mechanical ventilatory support (aOR, 1.22; 95% CI 1.03-1.46). There was no association between overweight and in-hospital mortality (aOR, 0.88; 95% CI 0.74-1.04). Similar effects were observed in patients with obesity or diabetes. In the subgroup analysis, the aOR for any outcome was not additionally increased in those with diabetes and overweight or obesity. CONCLUSIONSIn adults hospitalized with COVID-19, overweight, obesity, and diabetes were associated with increased odds of requiring respiratory support but were not associated with death. In patients with diabetes, the odds of severe COVID-19 were not increased above the BMI-associated risk.
Background: Previous studies have suggested that highly fragmented ambulatory care increases the risk of subsequent hospitalization, but those studies used claims only and were not able to adjust for many clinical potential confounders. Objective: The objective of this study was to determine the association between fragmented ambulatory care and subsequent hospitalization, adjusting for demographics, medical conditions, medications, health behaviors, psychosocial variables, and physiological variables. Design: Longitudinal analysis of data (2003–2016) from the nationwide REasons for Geographic And Racial Differences in Stroke (REGARDS) study, linked to Medicare fee-for-service claims. Subjects: A total of 12,693 Medicare beneficiaries 65 years and older from the REGARDS study who had at least 4 ambulatory visits in the first year of observation and did not have a hospitalization in the prior year. Measures: We defined high fragmentation as a reversed Bice-Boxerman score above the 75th percentile. We used Cox proportional hazards models to determine the association between fragmentation as a time-varying exposure and incident hospitalization in the 3 months following each exposure period. Results: The mean age was 70.4 years; 54% were women, and 33% were African American. During the first year of observation, participants with high fragmentation had a median of 8 ambulatory visits with 6 providers, whereas participants with low fragmentation had a median of 7 visits with 3 providers. Over 11.8 years of follow-up, 6947 participants (55%) had a hospitalization. High fragmentation was associated with an increased hazard of hospitalization (adjusted hazard ratio=1.18; 95% confidence interval: 1.12, 1.24). Conclusion: Highly fragmented ambulatory care is an independent risk factor for hospitalization.
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