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Muscle-invasive bladder cancer (MIBC) represents approximately two-thirds of invasive urothelial bladder cancers (UBC) and has high morbidity and mortality. Men are over 3-fold more frequently affected by UBC than women. Despite intensive efforts to improve patient treatment and outcome, two-thirds of patients with UBC will have a recurrence or disease progression within 5 years. We demonstrated that the quantity and spatial distribution of stromal tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes (sTIL) within the tumor immune microenvironment (TIME) predict stages of tumor inflammation, subtypes, and patient survival and correlate with expression of immune checkpoints in an analysis of 542 patients with MIBC. High sTILs indicated an inflamed subtype with an 80% 5-year DSS, and a lack of immune infiltrates identified an uninflamed subtype with a survival rate of less than 25%. A separate immune evading phenotype with upregulated immune checkpoints associated with poor survival. Within the TIME are tertiary lymphoid structures (TLS), which can mediate antitumor activity via immune cells. High TLS amounts and close tumor distance correlated significantly with an inflamed phenotype and favorable survival. The uninflamed and evasion phenotypes showed lowest TLS numbers, farthest tumor distances, and shortest survival. High inflammation also correlated with increased neoantigen load and mutational burden. Patients treated with adjuvant chemotherapy showed a favorable prognosis, which was dependent on high sTILs. Determination of sTILs and tumor subtypes may stratify therapy success and patient survival, and considering sTILs can easily be quantified using simple morphologic parameters, like hematoxylin and eosin, sTILs can be implemented for predicting patient survival in a routine manner.

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Differential expression of cytokeratins (CK) is a characteristic feature of chemoresistant luminal (KRT20) and chemosensitive intrinsic aggressive basal (KRT5) subtypes in muscle-invasive bladder cancer (MIBC). We investigated mRNA expression of KRT5 and KRT20 and its predictive value in stage pT1 bladder cancer. In retrospective analysis of clinical data and formalin-fixed paraffin-embedded tissues (FFPE) of patients with stage pT1 NMIBC who underwent transurethral resection of the bladder, a single-step RT-qPCR was used to measure mRNA expression. Furthermore, immunohistochemical (IHC) staining of CK20, panCK, and MIB1 was performed. Valid measurements were obtained from 231 samples out of a series of 284 patients. Spearman correlation revealed significant associations between mRNA and protein expression of KRT20/CK20 (ρ 0.6096, p < 0.0001) and MKI67/MIB1 (ρ 0.5467, p < 0.0001). A positive correlation was found between MKI67 and KRT20 expression (ρ 0.3492, p < 0.0001), while MKI67 and KRT5 were negatively correlated (ρ -0.1693, p = 0.01). High KRT20 expression (≥40.26) was significantly associated with worse recurrence free survival (RFS) (p = 0.001), progression-free survival (PFS) (p = 0.0003), and cancer specific survival (CSS) (p = 0.0414). The combination of high KRT20 expression and low KRT5 expression (<36.83) was associated with unfavorable RFS (p = 0.0038) and PFS (p = 0.0003) and proved to be the only independent predictor for RFS (p = 0.0055) and PFS (p = 0.0023) in multivariate analysis. KRT20 mRNA determination was superior to CK20 protein estimation with regard to RFS and PFS prediction. KRT20 and KRT5 mRNA quantification can predict recurrence and progression of stage pT1 NMIBC reflecting basal and luminal subtypes of MIBC and is superior to CK20 protein expression determined by IHC.

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