We examine the effect on economic growth of mobile cellular phones in sub-Saharan Africa where a marked asymmetry is present between land-line penetration and mobile telecommunications expansion. This study extends previous ones along two important dimensions. First, we allow for the potential endogeneity between economic growth and telecommunications expansion by employing a special linear generalized method of moments (GMM) estimator. Second, we explicitly model for varying degrees of substitutability between mobile cellular and land-line telephony, so that greater expansion of mobile telecommunications can have a different impact whenever the level of land-line penetration differs. We find that mobile cellular phone expansion is an important determinant of the rate of economic growth in Sub-Saharan Africa. Moreover, we find that the contribution of mobile cellular phones to economic growth has been growing in importance in the region, and that the marginal impact of mobile telecommunication services is even greater wherever land-line phones are rare. Given the low cost of mobile telecommunications technology relative to other broad infrastructure projects, especially land-line infrastructure, we advocate that mobile telecommunication services be encouraged in the area. ♣ The findings, recommendation, interpretation and conclusion expressed in this paper are those of the authors and not necessarily reflects the view of the Department of Economics of the Universidad del Rosario

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The impact of mobile and fixed telephones on economic growth has been the subject of increasing scrutiny in the literature on economic development. It is even of interest to theoretical macroeconomists, as it provides a useful test of the positive network externalities that should be present if endogenous growth theory is correct. We study the relationship between teledensity and growth in Asia, as the countries there have experienced wildly different levels of telephone penetration per capita, and of rates of growth of GDP per capita. We estimate several econometric models, one which explicitly treats telecom as strictly exogenous, and others which treat it as endogenous. Our conclusions are robust to the econometric specification. We find that the impact of teledensity on growth is positive, and increases with the level of telephone penetration. This provides support for endogenous growth theory.

Housing markets, Hedonic estimation, Flooding, Elevation, Housing supply, Katrina,

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