The Southern North Sea is a mature gas basin, producing mainly from faulted Permian Rotliegend sandstones. Identifying infill well opportunities in un-depleted or partially depleted blocks in these fields is challenging, particularly if the sealing capacity of faults within a field is uncertain. Time-lapse (4D) seismic monitoring provides an opportunity to identify depleted reservoir blocks by measuring differences in travel time across the producing interval between seismic surveys acquired before and after gas production. 4D seismic field tests were initially performed by Nederlandse Aardolie Maatschappij (NAM) and Shell in 2001. However, the observed travel-time differences proved to be smaller than predicted and any possible signals were too noisy to confidently detect depletion. Since then, advances in seismic acquisition and processing technology have improved the accuracy of 4D measurements and enabled the effective mapping of 4D related gas depletion signals. 4D seismic has now been deployed over a number of fields in the Southern North Sea, and a portfolio of infill opportunities has been identified. In 2015, the first 4D targeted infill well was successfully drilled into a block with limited depletion. This technology represents a breakthrough for operators seeking to maximize hydrocarbon recovery and extend field life in the Rotliegend play of the Southern North Sea.
Our study shows that time-lapse changes in the amplitude of the seismic reflection at an oil–water contact (OWC) and/or produced OWC can be used to estimate directly the displacement efficiency of water displacing oil,
E
D
, without the need of a rock and fluid physics model. From this value, it is possible to determine the remaining oil saturation if required. A preliminary application is performed using several published literature examples, which are reinterpreted to assess the average
E
D
and ensure that the theory is consistent with expectations. Next, a North Sea field model with a known
E
D
is used to create fluid-flow predictions and the corresponding synthetic time-lapse seismic data. Application to these data again confirms the basic principles of the method and defines the accuracy when applied to 4D seismic data. Finally, an observed 4D seismic dataset from a producing field in the North Sea is analysed. The results suggest a displacement efficiency of between 21 and 65% with an accuracy of 3% due to data non-repeatability (with a NRMS of between 11 and 13%). Given an average irreducible water saturation of 0.32, this calculates the remaining oil saturations at between 24 and 53% for this field. A prerequisite for use of the proposed OWC approach is that a discrete contact be interpreted on either the 3D or 4D seismic datasets. Therefore, successful application of this technique requires moderate- to high-quality seismic data and a fairly thick reservoir sequence without significant structural complexity.
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