Aim: Higher-elevation areas on islands and continental mountains tend to be separated by longer distances, predicting higher endemism at higher elevations; our study is the first to test the generality of the predicted pattern. We also compare it empirically with contrasting expectations from hypotheses invoking higher speciation with area, temperature and species richness. Location: 32 insular and 18 continental elevational gradients from around the world. Methods: We compiled entire floras with elevation-specific occurrence information, and calculated the proportion of native species that are endemic ('percent endemism') in 100 m bands, for each of the 50 elevational gradients. Using generalized linear models, we tested the relationships between percent endemism and elevation, isolation, temperature, area and species richness. Results: Percent endemism consistently increased monotonically with elevation, globally. This was independent of richness-elevation relationships, which had varying shapes but decreased with elevation at high elevations. The endemism-elevation relationships were consistent with isolationrelated predictions, but inconsistent with hypotheses related to area, richness and temperature. Main conclusions: Higher per-species speciation rates caused by increasing isolation with elevation are the most plausible and parsimonious explanation for the globally consistent pattern of higher endemism at higher elevations that we identify. We suggest that topography-driven isolation increases speciation rates in mountainous areas, across all elevations, and increasingly towards the equator. If so, it represents a mechanism that may contribute to generating latitudinal diversity gradients in a way that is consistent with both present-day and palaeontological evidence.

. The decline of species‐rich semi‐natural calcareous grasslands is a major conservation problem throughout Europe. Maintenance of traditional animal husbandry is often recommended as an important management strategy. However, results that underpin such management recommendations were derived predominantly from lowland studies and may not be easily applicable to high mountain areas. In this study we analyse the importance of traditional low‐intensity summer farming (cattle grazing) for vascular plant species diversity of a subalpine region in the northern calcareous Alps in Austria by resampling from an existing dataset on its vegetation. Results indicate a significant long term decline of plant species diversity following abandonment at the landscape scale. In contrast, within‐community effects of pasture abandonment on plant species diversity are equivocal and strongly depend on the plant community. We suppose these differences to be due to diet preferences of cattle as well as to the differential importance of competition for structuring the respective communities. From our results we infer that the main mechanism by which pasture abandonment affects vascular plant species diversity, at least during the first ca. 100 yr documented here, are not local‐scale competitive exclusion processes within persisting communities. Instead, post‐abandonment successional community displacements that cause a landscape scale homogenization of the vegetation cover seem to be primarily responsible for a decline of species diversity. We conclude, that successful management of vascular plant species diversity in subalpine regions of the Northeastern Calcareous Alps will depend on the maintenance of large scale pasture systems with a spatially variable disturbance regime.

Summary• The occurrence of both tetraploid and hexaploid cytotypes within and between populations of several species of Dianthus section Plumaria was analysed.• Chromosome numbers for 13 populations of eight taxa are presented together with a thorough compilation of previously published data.• Most of the taxa are polyploids (tetraploids and hexaploids). Three groups can be distinguished: (1) only one ploidy level within a taxon; (2) more than one ploidy level, but only single cytotypes within a population; and (3) populations with a cytotype mixture. From some populations, reported earlier to contain tetraploids, we found only hexaploid individuals. Hexaploids occur over the whole range of polyploid taxa, revealing no geographical pattern.• Polyploidy is very likely the result of autopolyploidization, at least for the hexaploid cytotypes, which formed many times independently and occur sympatrically with tetraploids. Most of the populations with mixed cytotypes represent primary hybrid zones. It is not yet possible to decide whether directional (one cytotype will become extinct in the longer term) or balanced selection (both cytotypes can coexist) is acting in those populations.

The Juan Fernandez Archipelago, a Chilean national park and biosphere reserve, is 700 km west of continental Chile. Invasive plant species pose major threats to the native, highly endemic vegetation, especially on Robinson Crusoe Island (Mas a Tierra), where there is a permanent settlement. We used historical and recent vegetation map data as well as recent vegetational point data to reconstruct vegetational changes on the island since the early twentieth century. In addition, we used logistic regression models with environmental variables or their surrogates (elevation, solar radiation, topographic similarity index, slope position) to estimate the potential distributions of the worst invaders. Native vegetation has been affected most severely by Acaena argentea, Aristotelia chilensis, Rubus ulmifolius, and Ugni molinae, leading to a significant decrease of endemic plants in the montane forests and native shrublands. The native forest has decreased by approximately onethird. The area affected by Aristotelia chilensis increased from 6.5% to 14% of the total island area. Ugni molinae, once rare, is now abundant (4.6%), as is Acaena (11.9%). Rubus ulmifolius, not present 80 years ago, now covers about 7% of the island's surface. The distributions of all studied species except Rubus ulmifolius are significantly (p < 0.05) controlled by the environmental factors we examined. Inferring from potential distributions of Aristotelia chilensis and Ugni molinae, 50% of the native montane forest could be invaded or replaced (with a probability of >60%) by these plants. Based on the invasion speed of the past 80 years, this would take another 80 years if conservation measures do not succeed. Predicción de Futuras Amenazas a la Vegetación Nativa de la Isla Robinson Crusoe, Archipiélago Juan Fernández, Chile Resumen: El Archipiélago Juan Fernández, un parque nacional y reserva de la biosfera chileno, está 700 km al oeste de Chile continental. Plantas invasoras son la mayor amenaza para la vegetación nativa, altamente endémica, especialmente en la Isla Robinson Crusoe (Mas a Tierra), donde hay un asentamiento permanente. Utilizamos datos históricos y recientes de mapas de vegetación así como datos puntuales recientes de vegetación para reconstruir los cambios de vegetación en la isla desde el inicio del siglo veinte. Adicionalmente, utilizamos modelos de regresión logística con variables ambientales o sus sustitutos (elevación, radiación solar,índice de similitud topográfica, pendiente) para estimar las distribuciones potenciales de los peores invasores. La vegetación nativa ha sido afectada más severamente por Acaena argentea, Aristotelia chilensis, Rubus ulmifolius y Ugni molinae, lo que traído una disminución significativa de plantas endémicas en los bosques montanos §Current address: Federal Environment Agency, Dirnböck et al. Predicting Threats to Native Vegetation 1651 y matorrales nativos. El bosque nativo ha disminuido aproximadamente en un tercio. Elárea afectada por Aristotelia chilensis aumentó de 6.5% a 14% del total...

This paper presents for the first time a comparison of the genetic consequences of two different types of speciation in plants of an oceanic island. Genetic data, using two different DNA methods, were obtained from more than 4,000 plants from the two major islands of the Juan Fernández Archipelago (Chile). Results show that some immigrant populations undergo major splitting events and harbor limited genetic diversity within each evolving line. In contrast, other immigrant populations establish and enlarge, but they never split, hence accumulating higher levels of genetic diversity.