Circulating type IV collagen (cCOL IV) is a potential biomarker for patients with colorectal liver metastases (CLM) who present with elevated levels of COL IV in both CLM tissue and circulation. This study aimed to establish the cellular origin of elevated levels of COL IV and analyze circulating COL IV in CLM patients. The cellular source was established through in situ hybridization, immunohistochemical staining, and morphological evaluation. Cellular expression in vitro was assessed by immunofluorescence. Tissue expression of COL IV-degrading matrix metalloproteinases (MMPs)-2, -7, -9, and -13 was studied with immunohistochemical staining. Plasma levels of COL IV in CLM patients and healthy controls were analyzed with ELISA. This study shows that cancer-associated fibroblasts (CAFs) express COL IV in the stroma of CLM and that COL IV is expressed in vitro by fibroblasts but not by tumor cells. MMP-2, -7, -9, and -13 are expressed in CLM tissue, mainly by hepatocytes and immune cells, and circulating COL IV is significantly elevated in CLM patients compared with healthy controls. Our study shows that stromal cells, not tumor cells, produce COL IV in CLM, and that circulating COL IV is elevated in patients with CLM.

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OBJECTIVE To estimate the risk of progression to stage 3 type 1 diabetes based on varying definitions of multiple islet autoantibody positivity (mIA). RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS Type 1 Diabetes Intelligence (T1DI) is a combined prospective data set of children from Finland, Germany, Sweden, and the U.S. who have an increased genetic risk for type 1 diabetes. Analysis included 16,709 infants-toddlers enrolled by age 2.5 years and comparison between groups using Kaplan-Meier survival analysis. RESULTS Of 865 (5%) children with mIA, 537 (62%) progressed to type 1 diabetes. The 15-year cumulative incidence of diabetes varied from the most stringent definition (mIA/Persistent/2: two or more islet autoantibodies positive at the same visit with two or more antibodies persistent at next visit; 88% [95% CI 85–92%]) to the least stringent (mIA/Any: positivity for two islet autoantibodies without co-occurring positivity or persistence; 18% [5–40%]). Progression in mIA/Persistent/2 was significantly higher than all other groups (P < 0.0001). Intermediate stringency definitions showed intermediate risk and were significantly different than mIA/Any (P < 0.05); however, differences waned over the 2-year follow-up among those who did not subsequently reach higher stringency. Among mIA/Persistent/2 individuals with three autoantibodies, loss of one autoantibody by the 2-year follow-up was associated with accelerated progression. Age was significantly associated with time from seroconversion to mIA/Persistent/2 status and mIA to stage 3 type 1 diabetes. CONCLUSIONS The 15-year risk of progression to type 1 diabetes risk varies markedly from 18 to 88% based on the stringency of mIA definition. While initial categorization identifies highest-risk individuals, short-term follow-up over 2 years may help stratify evolving risk, especially for those with less stringent definitions of mIA.