Background and Aims: Interval colorectal cancer (CRC) is largely related to a poor endoscopic performance or different biology in the development of the polyp. However, patient-related factors were less investigated for their association with interval cancer. We thus evaluated tumor and patient characteristics as predictors of interval cancer in a population from Israel. Methods: In this retrospective study, patients that were diagnosed with colon cancer in our institution and had 2 colonoscopies were included. Demographic parameters and tumor characteristics were compared between 84 cases with interval cancer, occurring 1–10 years after a negative colonoscopy, and 983 patients with primary CRC. In addition, patient-related features, including diabetes and diverticulosis, were compared between 51 patients with interval cancer after negative colonoscopy and 255 controls with no cancer and a previous negative colonoscopy. Results: Compared to “positive” controls with primary cancer, patients with interval cancer were older (age 71.3 vs. 67.6, p = 0.003), had proximal tumor location (57 vs. 34%, p < 0.001) and non-advanced (0–2) tumor staging (78.5 vs. 64.8%, p = 0.014). Compared with “negative” healthy controls, cases with interval cancer had only higher prevalence of diabetes (31 vs. 15%, p = 0.002). No significant differences were seen between patients with interval cancer occurring < 3 years and after 3–10 years. Conclusions: Patients with Interval cancer tend to be older and have diabetes. These patient groups should be more carefully or more frequently screened for pre-malignant lesions.
Summary
Background
The Modified Early Warning System (MEWS) is a well-validated tool used by hospitals to identify patients at high risk for an adverse event to occur. However, there has been little evaluation into whether a low MEWS score can be predictive of patients with a low likelihood of an adverse event.
Aim
The present study aims to evaluate the MEWS score as a method of identifying patients at low risk for adverse events.
Design
Retrospective cohort study of 5676 patient days and analysis of associated MEWS scores, medical comorbidities and adverse events. The primary outcome was the association of average daily MEWS scores in those who had an adverse event compared with those who did not.
Results
Those with an average MEWS score of >2 were over 9 times more likely to have an adverse event compared with those with an average MEWS score of 1–2, and over 15 times more likely to have an adverse event compared to those with an average MEWS score of <1.
Conclusions
Our study shows that those with average daily MEWS scores <2 are at a significantly lower likelihood of having an adverse event compared with a score of >2, deeming them ‘low-risk patients’. Formal recognition of such patients can have major implications in a hospital setting, including more efficient resource allocation in hospitals and better patient satisfaction and safety by adjusting patient monitoring according to their individual risk profile.
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