The global production of aquatic resources is increasing at the rate of 3.3 million tons per year, main thanks to aquaculture. However, this industry is considered by financial institutions as high risk due to failures caused by epizootics, natural disasters and poor planning and monitoring. Bioeconomic modelling is a progressive branch of social science that seeks to integrate the disciplines of economics and biology to create theories that better explain economic events using a biological basis and vice versa. This should be used in aquaculture to plan, monitor, and determine cost‐effectiveness and risk, to reduce uncertainty and increase profits of ongoing or new projects. A meta‐analysis of the literature on bioeconomic modelling in aquaculture during 26 years (1994─2020) was performed, using four search engines. Sixty‐eight articles were published in 23 journals, on 25 groups of species or species. The most studied were shrimp, tilapia, seabream, salmon and carp. From these, 12 articles dealt with tilapia models that shared similar biological, management and economic sub‐models. In the 26‐year analysis, the global scientific productivity in this field is low (2.6 articles/year) in relation to the growth of world aquaculture. Bioeconomic modelling peaked during the decade from 2004 to 2014 with 5.6 papers/year, but then declined to only 0.83 articles/year from 2015 to 2020. This is possibly due to the low diffusion among producers, planners and financial institutions of the advantages of the models and the difficulty to use them if friendly and readily available software is lacking.
Backyard aquaculture is gaining importance as a source of food and economic input for rural families in Mexico. The profitability of this system needs to be determined. Bioeconomic tools allow for making profit projections of any production system. A bioeconomic model composed of biological, production, and economic sub-models was developed to evaluate a low-cost backyard aquaculture system (BAS) appropriate for rural communities, considering theoretical productive parameters at certain environmental conditions. The BAS consisted of a 2800 L water reservoir stocked with 168 masculinized 1 g fingerlings of tilapia (Oreochromis niloticus) at 60 ind m-3 density and aerated with two ventury-type submerged pumps of 0.046 hp at a rate of 1400 L h-1 each. Two culture cycles of 25 weeks each were analysed. The initial investment was USD 1200 (USD 775 equipment + USD 425 operation cost yr-1). Results from the model indicate the production of 303 fishes of 614 g, equivalent to 186 kg yr-1, considering 10% mortality. Selling at USD 3.62 kg-1, net profits varied from USD 184 to 16 at 0 and 25% self-consumption. The payback period was three and four years at 0 and 10% self-consumption but was longer than five years at 25%. A response surface plot of profitability indicators (cost-benefit, net present value, and internal rate of return) was constructed at different self-consumption percentages, sale prices, and temperatures. In conclusion, BAS is a viable self-sustainable alternative for tilapia production at a low scale in rural areas of Mexico and other Latin American countries.
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