protected areas (pAs) are a foundational and essential strategy for reducing biodiversity loss. However, many pAs around the world exist on paper only; thus, while logging and habitat conversion may be banned in these areas, illegal activities often continue to cause alarming habitat destruction. in such cases, the presence of armed conflict may ultimately prevent incursions to a greater extent than the absence of conflict. Although there are several reports of habitat destruction following cessation of conflict, there has never been a systematic and quantitative "before-and-after-conflict" analysis of a large sample of pAs and surrounding areas. Here we report the results of such a study in colombia, using an open-access global forest change dataset. By analysing 39 PAs over three years before and after colombia's peace agreement with the Revolutionary Armed forces of colombia (fARc), we found a dramatic and highly significant increase in the deforestation rate for the majority of these areas and their buffer zones. We discuss the reasons behind such findings from the Colombian case, and debate some general conservation lessons applicable to other countries undergoing post-conflict transitions. The growing warfare ecology literature reports both negative and positive effects of conflict for biodiversity and the natural environment 1-3. This also applies to deforestation, which can be either increased or decreased depending on the specific complex socio-ecological dynamics linked to the conflict itself 3-5. Increased deforestation during conflict is reported for several regions of the world 6 , including Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) and Liberia 7 or Myanmar and Cambodia 8. In some cases, conflict reduces the institutional capacity to enforce laws and effectively manage the use or protection of natural resources, e.g. as reported for Kenya 9 , DRC 10 , Nepal 11 , and Colombia 5. In other cases, the displacement of people escaping or forced to leave conflict areas, the basic mechanism for the 'refuge effect' 12 , can prove beneficial for habitat and biodiversity protection, e.g. by limiting the pressure of resource extraction 13-15. The demilitarized Zone between North and South Korea is a good example of such a refuge 16. Conflict can largely disrupt economic activities 1 , such as timber logging in Nicaragua 17 , or farming, as in Sierra Leone 18. In the Chechen wars and in the nearby Nagorno-Karabakh conflict, agricultural land was abandoned in warzones, along with reported low re-cultivation rates after the cessation of the conflict 19,20. In other cases post-conflict development results in higher threats to forested ecosystems than conflict
Land free of direct anthropogenic disturbance is considered essential for achieving biodiversity conservation outcomes but is rapidly eroding. In response, many nations are increasing their protected area (PA) estates, but little consideration is given to the context of the surrounding landscape. This is despite the fact that structural connectivity between PAs is critical in a changing climate and mandated by international conservation targets. Using a high-resolution assessment of human pressure, we show that while ~40% of the terrestrial planet is intact, only 9.7% of Earth’s terrestrial protected network can be considered structurally connected. On average, 11% of each country or territory’s PA estate can be considered connected. As the global community commits to bolder action on abating biodiversity loss, placement of future PAs will be critical, as will an increased focus on landscape-scale habitat retention and restoration efforts to ensure those important areas set aside for conservation outcomes will remain (or become) connected.
The southern Yucatán (SY) has been recognized as a hotspot of biodiversity with great risk of deforestation. Land change analysis, based on classified Landsat TM and ETM + satellite imagery (1990, 2000 and 2006), was used to estimate the annual deforestation rates of 141 land management units of the SY, and spatial patterns of forest fragmentation around and within the Calakmul Biosphere Reserve (CBR), which comprises approximately one-third of the region. Results indicate a decrease in annual deforestation rates over 1990-2006, from 0.15% year −1 to 0.06% year −1 , but with significant sub-regional variations in the quantity and rate of forest loss. Despite a decline in deforestation during this period, there was considerable fragmentation both inside and outside the CBR. While population pressures and the expansion of pasture have caused deforestation across the region, agricultural intensification, diversified income strategies and reserve conservation may have contributed to reduced forest loss during the study period.
Habitat loss is the leading cause of the global decline in biodiversity, but the influence of human pressure within the matrix surrounding habitat fragments remains poorly understood. Here, we measure the relationship between fragmentation (the degree of fragmentation and the degree of patch isolation), matrix condition (measured as the extent of high human footprint levels), and the change in extinction risk of 4,426 terrestrial mammals. We find that the degree of fragmentation is strongly associated with changes in extinction risk, with higher predictive importance than life-history traits and human pressure variables. Importantly, we discover that fragmentation and the matrix condition are stronger predictors of risk than habitat loss and habitat amount. Moreover, the importance of fragmentation increases with an increasing deterioration of the matrix condition. These findings suggest that restoration of the habitat matrix may be an important conservation action for mitigating the negative effects of fragmentation on biodiversity.
Habitat loss is the leading cause of global biodiversity decline, but the influence of human pressure within the matrix surrounding habitat fragments remains poorly understood. Here we measure the relationship between fragmentation, matrix condition (measured as the extent of high human footprint levels), and the change in extinction risk of 4,327 terrestrial mammals. We find that the matrix condition and the fragmentation of habitat are strongly associated with changes in species extinction risk. Importantly, we discover that fragmentation is a stronger predictor of risk than species life-history traits, habitat loss, and habitat amount. Moreover, the importance of fragmentation increases with an increasing deterioration of the matrix condition, highlighting the critical influence matrix quality plays on the effects of fragmentation. These findings suggest that restoration measures in habitat matrices may be an important conservation action for mitigating the effects of fragmentation relative to extinction risk of terrestrial mammals.
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