With the enrichment of smartphones, driving distractions caused by phone usages have become a threat to driving safety. A promising way to mitigate driving distractions is to detect them and give real-time safety warnings. However, existing detection algorithms face two major challenges, low user acceptance caused by in-vehicle camera sensors, and uncertain accuracy of pre-trained models due to drivers' individual differences. Therefore, this study proposes a domain-specific automated machine learning (AutoML) to self-learn the optimal models to detect distraction based on lane-keeping performance data. The AutoML integrates the key modeling steps into an auto-optimizable pipeline, including knowledge-based feature extraction, feature selection by recursive feature elimination (RFE), algorithm selection, and hyperparameter auto-tuning by Bayesian optimization. An AutoML method based on XGBoost, termed AutoGBM, is built as the classifier for prediction and feature ranking. The model is tested based on driving simulator experiments of three driving distractions caused by phone usage: browsing short messages, browsing long messages, and answering a phone call. The proposed AutoGBM method is found to be reliable and promising to predict phone-related driving distractions, which achieves satisfactory results prediction, with a predictive power of 80% on group level and 90% on individual level accuracy. Moreover, the results also evoke the fact that each distraction types and drivers require different optimized hyperparameters values, which reconfirm the necessity of utilizing AutoML to detect driving distractions. The purposed AutoGBM not only produces better performance with fewer features; but also provides data-driven insights about system design.
Trajectory prediction is one of the essential tasks for autonomous vehicles. Recent progress in machine learning gave birth to a series of advanced trajectory prediction algorithms. Lately, the effectiveness of using graph neural networks (GNNs) with vectorized representations for trajectory prediction has been demonstrated by many researchers. Nonetheless, these algorithms either pay little attention to models' generalizability across various scenarios or simply assume training and test data follow similar statistics. In fact, when test scenarios are unseen or Out-of-Distribution (OOD), the resulting train-test domain shift usually leads to significant degradation in prediction performance, which will impact downstream modules and eventually lead to severe accidents. Therefore, it is of great importance to thoroughly investigate the prediction models in terms of their generalizability, which can not only help identify their weaknesses but also provide insights on how to improve these models. This paper proposes a generalizability analysis framework using feature attribution methods to help interpret black-box models. For the case study, we provide an in-depth generalizability analysis of one of the state-of-the-art graph-based trajectory predictors that utilize vectorized representation. Results show significant performance degradation due to domain shift, and feature attribution provides insights to identify potential causes of these problems. Finally, we conclude the common prediction challenges and how weighting biases induced by the training process can deteriorate the accuracy.
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