The text of this paper, together with the abstract of the discussion held by the Institute of Actuaries on 25 October 1999, are printed in British Actuarial Journal, 6, I, 55-141.However, when this paper was discussed by the Faculty of Actuaries, the following ‘Survey of Practice’ had been carried out, and was also presented.
The term ‘investment risk’ is often used loosely, and frequently confused with the notion of short-term price volatility, particularly for equity instruments. For the long-term investor, however, what is most apposite is the ability to meet future real cash flows as they become due. This paper addresses the concept of economic fundamentals of long-term investment, the objectives of long-term investors (and how these differ from those of short-term investors), the notion of real value shortfall risk, what is meant by an investor’s risk capacity (as opposed to risk appetite) and liquidity management considerations. Subsequently, some of the constraints and barriers to appropriate risk measurement and management are considered, in particular the regulatory and behavioural biases that are overlaid on fundamental asset/liability management. Various alternative approaches to measuring risk, and their appropriateness for purpose, are outlined, in the hope of further informing the discussion and thereby helping to accelerate productive change.
The traditional approach to United Kingdom pension fund valuations is to use an off-market approach to valuing assets and liabilities. This approach has been called into question for a number of reasons, such as changes to the taxation of U.K. share dividends and a growing understanding and appreciation of the key principles of financial economics. This paper looks at the history of the traditional approach and focuses on the drivers for change. We compare the properties of various methods that take assets into the balance sheet at market value against the traditional valuation method. Our principal aim throughout has been to produce a paper that is practical and helpful to pension scheme actuaries.
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