Objective:To study the prediction of gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) in high-risk pregnant women by testing the 1-hour (1hPG) and 2-hour plasma glucose (2hPG) after an oral glucose tolerance test and the glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) in early pregnancy (6-14 weeks).Methodology:We recruited 1311 pregnant women at high risk for diabetes from the Obstetrics Clinic of Daxing District People's Hospital between June 2017 and December 2019. Fasting blood glucose (FPG) and HbA1c were tested and a 75 g oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) with 1-hour blood glucose (1hPG) and 2-hour blood glucose (2hPG) was performed during the first trimester of pregnancy. The women were seen at 24-28 weeks to follow-up for GDM. We calculated the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) to determine the predictive values for early pregnancy FPG, 1hPG, 2hPG, and HbA1c for GDM in high-risk pregnant women.Results:The prevalence of pregestational diabetes mellitus among pregnant women at high risk of diabetes was 5.6%, and GDM was 24.7%. The AUCs for the predictive value of FPG, 1hPG, 2hPG, and HbA1c in high-risk pregnant women were 0.64, 0.76, 0.71, and 0.67, respectively. The AUC for 1hPG prediction of GDM in high-risk pregnant women is greater than FPG, 2hPG, and HbA1c. All differences were statistically significant.Conclusion:FPG, 1hPG, 2hPG, and HbA1c measured in the first trimester pregnancy of high-risk women are significant predictors of GDM. 1hPG was the most significant predictive value for GDM in high-risk pregnant women.
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