Objective To compare the predictive values of base excess (BE), lactate and pH of admission arterial blood gas for 72-h mortality in patients with multiple trauma. Methods This was a secondary analysis based on a publicly shared trauma dataset from the Dryad database, which provided the clinical data of 3669 multiple trauma patients with ISS > = 16. The records of BE, lactate, pH and 72-h prognosis data without missing values were selected from this dataset and 2441 individuals were enrolled in the study. Logistic regression model was performed to calculate the odds ratios (ORs) of variables. Area under the curve (AUC) of receiver operating curve (ROC) was utilized to evaluate the predictive value of predictors for 72 h in-hospital mortality. Pairwise comparison of AUCs was performed using the Delong’s test. Results The statistically significant correlations were observed between BE and lactate (r = − 0.5861, p < 0.05), lactate and pH (r = − 0.5039, p < 0.05), and BE and pH (r = − 0.7433, p < 0.05). The adjusted ORs of BE, lactate and pH for 72-h mortality with the adjustment for factors including gender, age, ISS category were 0.872 (95%CI: 0.854–0.890), 1.353 (95%CI: 1.296–1.413) and 0.007 (95%CI: 0.003–0.016), respectively. The AUCs of BE, lactate and pH were 0.693 (95%CI: 0.675–0.712), 0.715 (95%CI: 0.697–0.733), 0.670 (95%CI: 0.651–0.689), respectively. Conclusions There are significant correlations between BE, lactate and pH of the admission blood gas, all of them are independent predictors of 72-h mortality for multiple trauma. Lactate may have the best predictive value, followed by BE, and finally pH.
Objective To test the following hypothesis: the ratio of shock index to pulse oxygen saturation can better predict the mortality of emergency trauma patients than shock index. Methods 1723 Patients of trauma admitted to the Emergency Department of the First Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University from 1 November 2016 to 30 November 2019 were retrospectively evaluated. We defined SS as the ratio of SI to SPO2, and the mortality of trauma patients in the emergency department as end-point of outcome. We calculated the crude HR of SS and adjusted HR with the adjustment for risk factors including sex, age, revised trauma score (RTS) by Cox regression model. ROC curve analyses were performed to compare the area under the curve (AUC) of SS and SI. Results The crude HR of SS was: 4.31, 95%CI (2.89-6.42) and adjusted HR: 3.01, 95%CI(1.86-4.88); ROC curve analyses showed that AUC of SS was higher than that of shock index (SI), and the difference was statistically significant: 0.69, 95%CI(0.55-0.83) vs 0.65, 95%CI (0.51-0.79), P = 0.001. Conclusion The ratio of shock index to pulse oxygen saturation is good predictor for emergency trauma patients, which has a better prognostic value than shock index.
Background: The aim of the study is to evaluate the extent to which patients acquired necessary knowledge about pancreatic endoscopic ultrasound-guided fine needle aspiration and assess what should be more focused on in the informed consent process. Methods: Adult patients enrolled in this study had pancreatic lesions confirmed by regular imaging and planned to undergo the first pancreatic endoscopic ultrasound-guided fine needle aspiration. These patients were asked to complete a questionnaire, including indications, possible results, downstream events, the risk for false-negative and malignant lesions, and so on. Then we conducted a long-term follow-up of these patients to obtain the final results. Results: Most people (94.25%) correctly recognized that the indication of pancreatic endoscopic ultrasound-guided fine needle aspiration was to exclude malignant lesions. Almost all patients knew that the results could be benign or malignant, while the number of people who were aware of non-diagnostic (22%), indeterminate (18%) outcomes, and the possibility of further testing (20%) after the endoscopic ultrasound-guided fine needle aspiration has decreased significantly. Finally, we got that the false-negative rate and percentages of malignancy were 17.81% and 83.91%, while 98% of participants did not recognize that there is a false-negative risk of endoscopic ultrasound-guided fine needle aspiration and more than 2/3 of participants did not know how much risk they might have for malignant lesions. Conclusions: A high proportion of patients who received endoscopic ultrasound-guided fine needle aspiration could identify the indication for this procedure but remained unaware of possible outcomes, downstream events, especially the risk for false-negative and malignant lesions. It is necessary to improve the quality of dialogue between clinicians and patients, and the information about the risk of false-negative and malignancy may need to be emphasized in the informed consent process.
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