BACKGROUND Over the past several decades, US mortality declines have lagged behind other highincome countries. However, scant attention has been devoted to how US mortality variability compares with other countries. OBJECTIVE We examine trends in mortality and mortality variability in the US and 16 peer countries from 1980 through 2016. METHODS We employ the Human Mortality Database and demographic techniques-with a focus on patterns in the interquartile (IQR), interdecile (IDR), and intercentile (ICR) ranges of survivorship-to better understand US mortality and mortality variability trends in comparative perspective. RESULTS Compared to other high-income countries, the US: (1) mortality ranking has slipped for nearly all age groups; (2) is losing its old age mortality advantage; (3) has seen growth in relative age-specific mortality gaps from infancy through midlife; and (4) exhibits
Objectives To examine the relationship between obesity and mortality as a function of polygenic risk for obesity among older U.S. adults. Method Using data from the 1994–2014 Health and Retirement Study in conjunction with genome-wide data, we evaluated the risk of mortality as a function of obesity classification, an individual’s polygenic risk score (PGS) for obesity, and their interaction, stratified by sex. We conducted our analyses using cox proportional hazard models. Results Among those with an average PGS for obesity (8,143 [68.8%]), obese I (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.79, p = .336) adults show no difference in their risk for mortality and obese II/III (HR = 3.17, p = .000) adults present higher risk of mortality relative to non-obese adults. The interaction of obesity classification and PGS suggests that obese II/III respondents with low PGS in the total sample (HR = 2.71, p = .006) and among women (HR = 3.02, p = .023) are at significantly higher risk of death when compared to obese II/III respondents with average or high PGS. Discussion We posit that these findings suggest that the pathway to obesity, in this case, more socio-behavioral rather than genetic, may influence subsequent risk of death in older adults. We suggest that practitioners and population researchers be mindful of these pathways as to better identify and understand mortality risk.
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