This study investigates the effect of terms of trade (TOT) on the economic growth of China over the period 1980–2013. Autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model proposed by Pesaran, Shin, and Smith (2001, Journal of Applied Econometrics, 16(3), pp. 289–326) is applied for examining the short-run and long-run associations. The causality analysis between variables is analyzed by using Granger causality test and variance decomposition test. The ARDL model reveals that TOT significantly and adversely affect economic growth in the short run as well as in the long run. The results also imply positive short-run and long-run effect of labor and capital on the economic growth of China. The Granger causality results reveal significant bidirectional causal relationship between economic growth and capital, and between capital and labor force. The results show unidirectional causality from TOT to labor force. The variance decomposition results show that most of the innovation in economic growth is explained by its own innovation, while other variables have very small contributions to its innovations. The notable findings of the study suggest that TOT deterioration is relatively important for enhancing the economic growth of China.

This study investigates how short-term debt and debt capacity help firms to make efficient financing decisions and reduce underinvestment problem. The sample includes Chinese nonfinancial firms listed on the Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges over the period 2007 to 2017. The findings indicate that short-term debt is positively related to leverage. The results also indicate that growth positively influences leverage. The results further show that short-term debt enhances the positive impact of growth on leverage. These findings reveal that short-term debt makes firms financially flexible, and allows them to obtain more cost-effective debt by repricing and renegotiation of debt contracts in the presence of valuable growth opportunities. Furthermore, the results illustrate that debt capacity is positively associated with leverage, suggesting that debt capacity helps firms to have an easy access to the credit market and reduce liquidity risk. Overall, the findings remain consistent across different types of firms (state-owned [S.O.E.] and non-state-owned enterprises [N.S.O.E.]) and by considering alternative proxy of growth.

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The study investigates the effect of political stability and budget deficit on the real exchange rate. We used a panel data set of south Asian countries, including Pakistan, China, Bangladesh and India. We applied the panel unit root test, Kaos panel Cointegration and fully modified the least square in the study to reach robustness of findings. Findings reveal that real exchange rate(RER) and political stability are positively related. It supports the argument that political stability attracts foreign investment, appreciates local currency, and leads to higher RER. However, results reveal that the budget deficit is not related to RER. This study provides new empirical evidence to policymakers and government officials that political stability encourages foreign investors and appreciates exchange rate.

The study aims to investigate how relying on short-term debt may help Chinese listed firms to make efficient investment decisions and reduce overinvestment problem for low-growth firms. The study uses a large set of panel data of non-financial Chinese listed firms over the period 2007–2017 and, using the robust two-stage generalized method of moments, which is robust to unobserved heterogeneity of individual firms and addresses endogeneity issues. Findings show a positive relationship between growth and investment; this association is enhanced by leverage, especially for high-growth firms. This supports the view that short-term debt helps Chinese firms to make optimal use of leverage and therefore make better investment decisions. Furthermore, the results reveal that leverage plays a disciplining and monitoring role to reduce overinvestment incentive for low-growth firms. Overall, the study suggests that shareholders should consider short-term debt to mitigate the debt overhang problem and restrict the opportunistic behavior of managers, which can lead to efficient investment decisions. It also provides foreign investors insights about capital structure in China, and how it can help them make better investment decisions.