In order to better apply the “situational response” model in the field of fluidized mining emergency management, it is the first step and the most critical problem to construct a reasonable scenario for fluidized mining emergency drills and reasonably put forward emergency management measures. Therefore, the structural similarity method is adopted in this paper to design emergency exercise scenarios. Firstly, a model of hierarchical structured scenarios is proposed, namely, modules of “Event-Environment-State of scenario-Disposal of task-Emergency action- Resources subject.” Secondly, a scenario chain is designed, and a prediction method of the event development trend under the current scenario is proposed. Thirdly, the calculation method of scenario similarity and the proposed emergency response scheme method under the current situation after similarity comparison are proposed. Finally, the structural similarity analysis method is used to verify the application of “scenario construction” in oil and gas pipeline accidents, and better analysis results are obtained. Through this research, the application of “scenario design” in fluidized mining emergency management has been expanded and enriched, and technical support for “scenario design” of fluidized mining assisted decisions is provided.
Railways of the National Energy Group using their own trains have become an important mode of transportation for coal-to-oil hazardous chemicals. Under the circumstances of the shortage of emergency resources and the coupling of multiple disasters, how to establish an effective and reasonable emergency resource allocation scheme for the railway transportation of dangerous chemicals from a disaster site is of great significance to the national task of ensuring safety for the transportation of energy. This paper focuses on the allocation of emergency rescue resources for railway transportation accidents involving coal-to-oil hazardous chemicals, considering the scenarios of the leakage of coal-to-oil, railway line damage, etc. According to the number of trapped people at the initial moment, the disaster situation and accident type, affected areas, etc., a multi-objective optimization model with the shortest response time of the emergency team and the lowest cost of transporting emergency materials along the railway transportation channel of coal-to-oil hazardous chemicals is constructed, based on the calculation method using the initial weight and the emergency weight assigned by the emergency rescue team. Furthermore, in order to avoid the problem of the weight of the local accident points being too small to participate in a rescue, a bee colony algorithm model based on pre-allocation was designed and compared with two traditional algorithms, allowing the realization of the search and selection of allocation methods. The analysis of the examples shows that the proposed method is efficient and fast, and the research results are practical and feasible, which can provide a scientific basis for the rapid decision of emergency rescue resource allocation in multi-disaster scenarios for large energy groups, and provide a reference for the allocation of public security emergency resources in the national emergency response.
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