In 15 cohorts of the Seven Countries Study, comprising 11,579 men aged 40-59 years and "healthy" at entry, 2,288 died in 15 years. Death rates differed among cohorts. Differences in mean age, blood pressure, serum cholesterol, and smoking habits "explained" 46% of variance in death rate from all causes, 80% from coronary heart disease, 35% from cancer, and 45% from stroke. Death rate differences were unrelated to cohort differences in mean relative body weight, fatness, and physical activity. The cohorts differed in average diets. Death rates were related positively to average percentage of dietary energy from saturated fatty acids, negatively to dietary energy percentage from monounsaturated fatty acids, and were unrelated to dietary energy percentage from polyunsaturated fatty acids, proteins, carbohydrates, and alcohol. All death rates were negatively related to the ratio of monounsaturated to saturated fatty acids. Inclusion of that ratio with age, blood pressure, serum cholesterol, and smoking habits as independent variables accounted for 85% of variance in rates of deaths from all causes, 96% coronary heart disease, 55% cancer, and 66% stroke. Oleic acid accounted for almost all differences in monounsaturates among cohorts. All-cause and coronary heart disease death rates were low in cohorts with olive oil as the main fat. Causal relationships are not claimed but consideration of characteristics of populations as well as of individuals within populations is urged in evaluating risks.
Summary.We studied the prevalence of diabetes mellitus in men aged 65 to 84 years in Finland. The study sample consisted of 763 men, the survivors of the Finnish cohort of the "Seven Countries Study" first examined in 1959. The participation rate in the present survey was 94%. Blood glucose, fasting and 2 h after a 75-g oral glucose load, was determined from capillary blood. Current WHO criteria for diabetes mellitus were used. The mean fasting blood glucose level, adjusted for age and body mass index, was higher in east than west Finland. It rose with age in both areas. The prevalence of diabetes was 38% in the east and 36% in west Finland. About one-third of the men had impaired glucose tolerance. In the age group 75 to 79 years, the prevalence of diabetes was 65% in the east and 50% in the west. No systematic variation in the prevalence of impaired glucose tolerance with age was found. The mean levels of body mass index decreased with age in the same way in men with diabetes, impaired glucose tolerance and normal glucose tolerance. Body mass index was not higher in men with diabetes or impaired glucose tolerance than in men with normal glucose tolerance.
The mortality of 396 Finnish champion skiers born from 1845 to 1910 was followed up to the end of 1967. Their median life expectancy was 73.0 years, ie.e 4.3 years longer than that for the Finnish male population during the same period. Former skiers have low blood pressure, seldom smoke and are physically active. Increased longevity has been reported also for American college oarsmen and baseball players.
The roles of age, gender, diet, plasma lipoproteins, blood pressure, smoking, physical activity, alcohol consumption and psychosocial factors as determinants of cardiovascular diseases have been studied mainly in the middle aged but little in the elderly. The risk factor status of glucose intolerance, body weight, and the physical and chemical environment has been less firmly established. This review examines the published evidence, emphasising the potential of extending the prevention of cardiovascular diseases beyond 60.
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