In this study, we introduce an ensemble selection method for deep ensemble systems called VEGAS. The deep ensemble models include multiple layers of the ensemble of classifiers (EoC). At each layer, we train the EoC and generates training data for the next layer by concatenating the predictions for training observations and the original training data. The predictions of the classifiers in the last layer are combined by a combining method to obtain the final collaborated prediction. We further improve the prediction accuracy of a deep ensemble model by searching for its optimal configuration, i.e., the optimal set of classifiers in each layer. The optimal configuration is obtained using the Variable-Length Genetic Algorithm (VLGA) to maximize the prediction accuracy of the deep ensemble model on the validation set. We developed three operators of VLGA: roulette wheel selection for breeding, a chunk-based crossover based on the number of classifiers to generate new offsprings, and multiple random points-based mutation on each offspring. The experiments on 20 datasets show that VEGAS outperforms selected benchmark algorithms, including two well-known ensemble methods (Random Forest and XgBoost) and three deep learning methods (Multiple Layer Perceptron, gcForest, and MULES).
While self-driving technology is still being perfected, public transport authorities are increasingly interested in the ability to model and optimise the benefits of adding connected and autonomous vehicles (CAVs) to existing multi-modal transport systems. We propose a strategy that combines multi-objective evolutionary algorithms with macrolevel mobility simulations based on publicly available data (i.e., Open Street Maps data sets and transit timetables) to automatically discover optimal cost-benefit trade-offs of introducing a new CAV-centred PT service to an existing transport system. The insightful results we obtained on a real-life case study aimed at improving the average commuting time in a district of the Leeds Metropolitan Area are very promising and indicative of our strategy's great potential to support efficient data-driven public transport planning.
The past five years have seen a rapid development of plans and test pilots aimed at introducing connected and autonomous vehicles (CAVs) in public transport systems around the world. Using a real-world scenario from the Leeds Metropolitan Area as a case study, we demonstrate an effective way to combine macro-level mobility simulations based on open data (i.e., geographic information system information and transit timetables) with evolutionary optimisation techniques to discover realistic optimised integration routes for CAVs. The macro-level mobility simulations are used to assess the quality (i.e., fitness) of a potential CAV route by quantifying geographic accessibility improvements using an extended version of Dijkstra's algorithm on an abstract multi-modal transport network.
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