Exposure to fine particulate matter (PM) from indoor and outdoor sources is a leading environmental contributor to global disease burden. In response, we established under the auspices of the UNEP/SETAC Life Cycle Initiative a coupled indoor-outdoor emission-to-exposure framework to provide a set of consistent primary PM aggregated exposure factors. We followed a matrix-based mass balance approach for quantifying exposure from indoor and ground-level urban and rural outdoor sources using an effective indoor-outdoor population intake fraction and a system of archetypes to represent different levels of spatial detail. Emission-to-exposure archetypes range from global indoor and outdoor averages, via archetypal urban and indoor settings, to 3646 real-world cities in 16 parametrized subcontinental regions. Population intake fractions from urban and rural outdoor sources are lowest in Northern regions and Oceania and highest in Southeast Asia with population-weighted means across 3646 cities and 16 subcontinental regions of, respectively, 39 ppm (95% confidence interval: 4.3-160 ppm) and 2 ppm (95% confidence interval: 0.2-6.3 ppm). Intake fractions from residential and occupational indoor sources range from 470 ppm to 62 000 ppm, mainly as a function of air exchange rate and occupancy. Indoor exposure typically contributes 80-90% to overall exposure from outdoor sources. Our framework facilitates improvements in air pollution reduction strategies and life cycle impact assessments.
We evaluate fine particulate matter
(PM2.5) exposure–response
models to propose a consistent set of global effect factors for product
and policy assessments across spatial scales and across urban and
rural environments. Relationships among exposure concentrations and
PM2.5-attributable health effects largely depend on location,
population density, and mortality rates. Existing effect factors build
mostly on an essentially linear exposure–response function
with coefficients from the American Cancer Society study. In contrast,
the Global Burden of Disease analysis offers a nonlinear integrated
exposure–response (IER) model with coefficients derived from
numerous epidemiological studies covering a wide range of exposure
concentrations. We explore the IER, additionally provide a simplified
regression as a function of PM2.5 level, mortality rates,
and severity, and compare results with effect factors derived from
the recently published global exposure mortality model (GEMM). Uncertainty
in effect factors is dominated by the exposure–response shape,
background mortality, and geographic variability. Our central IER-based
effect factor estimates for different regions do not differ substantially
from previous estimates. However, IER estimates exhibit significant
variability between locations as well as between urban and rural
environments, driven primarily by variability in PM2.5 concentrations
and mortality rates. Using the IER as the basis for effect factors
presents a consistent picture of global PM2.5-related effects
for use in product and policy assessment frameworks.
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