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<p>About 40% of the annual methane emissions originate from natural, non-anthropogenic sources. These include mainly freshwater sediments, in which significant increase in methane emissions has been observed throughout the past decades with the ongoing global temperature rise. Thermokarst lakes, formed by abrupt thawing of permafrost, play a significant role in this observed increase in methane emissions. However, methane production rates and natural consumption controls there are not well constrained, as well as their response to global warming.  </p><p>We explore the rates and mechanisms of methane production and anaerobic oxidation (AOM) processes several interior Alaska thermokarst lakes, which formed and continue to expand as a result of ice-rich permafrost thaw. This is mainly through geochemical and microbial profiles combined with slurry incubation experiments with labeled isotopes, potential electron acceptors and several inhibitors in different temperatures. Our manipulated experiments shed insight on the controls of methanogenesis onset and the mechanisms of both methanogenesis and AOM. Direct rate measurements using two isotope methods and modeling provide robust rate estimations for methanogenesis and AOM. They indicate that the role of AOM in these lakes is less significant than previous estimations, and that AOM will probably not attenuate the methanogenesis increase in a warmer climate. </p>

1) Overview of Project GoalsOur overall goal was to quantify the potential for threshold changes in natural emission rates of trace gases, particularly methane and carbon dioxide, from pan--arctic terrestrial systems under the spectrum of anthropogenically forced climate warming, and the extent to which these emissions provide a strong feedback mechanism to global climate warming. This goal is motivated under the premise that polar amplification of global climate warming will induce widespread thaw and degradation of the permafrost, and would thus cause substantial changes in the extent of wetlands and lakes, especially thermokarst (thaw) lakes, over the Arctic. Through a coordinated effort of field measurements, model development, and numerical experimentation with an integrated assessment model framework, we have investigated the following hypothesis:

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