To evaluate the trustworthiness of saliency maps for abnormality localization in medical imaging. Materials and Methods:Using two large publicly available radiology datasets (SIIM-ACR Pneumothorax Segmentation and RSNA Pneumonia Detection), we quantified the performance of eight commonly used saliency map techniques in regards to their 1) localization utility (segmentation and detection), 2) sensitivity to model weight randomization, 3) repeatability, and 4) reproducibility. We compared their performances versus baseline methods and localization network architectures, using area under the precision-recall curve (AUPRC) and structural similarity index (SSIM) as metrics.Results: All eight saliency map techniques fail at least one of the criteria and were inferior in performance compared to localization networks. For pneumothorax segmentation, the AUPRC ranged from 0.024-0.224, while a U-Net achieved a significantly superior AUPRC of 0.404 (p<0.005). For pneumonia detection, the AUPRC ranged from 0.160-0.519, while a RetinaNet achieved a significantly superior AUPRC of 0.596 (p<0.005). Five and two saliency methods (out of eight) failed the model randomization test on the segmentation and detection datasets, respectively, suggesting that these methods are not sensitive to changes in model parameters. The repeatability and reproducibility of the majority of the saliency methods were worse than localization networks for both the segmentation and detection datasets. Conclusion:We suggest that the use of saliency maps in the high-risk domain of medical imaging warrants additional scrutiny and recommend that detection or segmentation models be used if localization is the desired output of the network.

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Using medical images to evaluate disease severity and change over time is a routine and important task in clinical decision making. Grading systems are often used, but are unreliable as domain experts disagree on disease severity category thresholds. These discrete categories also do not reflect the underlying continuous spectrum of disease severity. To address these issues, we developed a convolutional Siamese neural network approach to evaluate disease severity at single time points and change between longitudinal patient visits on a continuous spectrum. We demonstrate this in two medical imaging domains: retinopathy of prematurity (ROP) in retinal photographs and osteoarthritis in knee radiographs. Our patient cohorts consist of 4861 images from 870 patients in the Imaging and Informatics in Retinopathy of Prematurity (i-ROP) cohort study and 10,012 images from 3021 patients in the Multicenter Osteoarthritis Study (MOST), both of which feature longitudinal imaging data. Multiple expert clinician raters ranked 100 retinal images and 100 knee radiographs from excluded test sets for severity of ROP and osteoarthritis, respectively. The Siamese neural network output for each image in comparison to a pool of normal reference images correlates with disease severity rank (ρ = 0.87 for ROP and ρ = 0.89 for osteoarthritis), both within and between the clinical grading categories. Thus, this output can represent the continuous spectrum of disease severity at any single time point. The difference in these outputs can be used to show change over time. Alternatively, paired images from the same patient at two time points can be directly compared using the Siamese neural network, resulting in an additional continuous measure of change between images. Importantly, our approach does not require manual localization of the pathology of interest and requires only a binary label for training (same versus different). The location of disease and site of change detected by the algorithm can be visualized using an occlusion sensitivity map-based approach. For a longitudinal binary change detection task, our Siamese neural networks achieve test set receiving operator characteristic area under the curves (AUCs) of up to 0.90 in evaluating ROP or knee osteoarthritis change, depending on the change detection strategy. The overall performance on this binary task is similar compared to a conventional convolutional deep-neural network trained for multi-class classification. Our results demonstrate that convolutional Siamese neural networks can be a powerful tool for evaluating the continuous spectrum of disease severity and change in medical imaging.npj Digital Medicine (2020) 3:48 ; https://doi.

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