Productivity stabilization is a critical issue facing plant factories. As such, researchers have been investigating growth prediction with the overall goal of improving productivity. The projected area of a plant (PA) is usually used for growth prediction, by which the growth of a plant is estimated by observing the overall approximate movement of the plant. To overcome this problem, this study focused on the time-series movement of plant leaves, using optical flow (OF) analysis to acquire this information for a lettuce. OF analysis is an image processing method that extracts the difference between two consecutive frames caused by the movement of the subject. Experiments were carried out at a commercial large-scale plant factory. By using a microcomputer with a camera module placed above the lettuce seedlings, images of 338 seedlings were taken every 20 min over 9 days (from the 6th to the 15th day after sowing). Then, the features of the leaf movement were extracted from the image by calculating the normal-vector in the OF analysis, and these features were applied to machine learning to predict the fresh weight of the lettuce at harvest time (38 days after sowing). The growth prediction model using the features extracted from the OF analysis was found to perform well with a correlation ratio of 0.743. Furthermore, this study also considered a phenotyping system that was capable of automatically analyzing a plant image, which would allow this growth prediction model to be widely used in commercial plant factories.

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The estimation of water stress is critical for the reliable production of high-quality fruits cultivated using the tacit knowledge of expert farmers. Multimodal deep neural network has achieved success in the estimation of stem diameter variations as a water stress index, calculated from leaf wilting and environmental data. However, these studies have not addressed the specific role of leaf wilting in the estimation. Revealing the role of leaf wilting not only ensures the reliability of the estimation model but also provides an opportunity for improving the estimation method. In this paper, we investigated the relationships between leaf wilting and stem diameter variations without resorting to black-box approaches such as deep neural network. To clarify the role of leaf wilting, this study uses cross-correlation analysis to analyze the time lag correlation between leaf wilting, quantified by optical flow, and stem diameter variations as a water stress index. The analysis showed that leaf wilting had a significant time lag correlation with short-term stem diameter variations, which were water stress responses in plants. As the results were consistent with known plant water transport mechanisms, it was suggested that leaf wilting quantified by optical flow can explain short-term stem diameter variations.

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