In the past decade, China's outward foreign direct investment (FDI) has increased significantly. On the other hand, the Chinese economic growth model is heavily reliant on domestic investment. Our study examines the important issue of how China's domestic investment responds to its FDI outflows. We investigate this issue analyzing, for the first time, China's domestic investment at industrial level. We specifically account for the factor of government support given the significant role played by the state in the Chinese economy. Using industrial level data, we further evaluate whether domestic investment reacts to outward FDI differently between statedominated industries and those that are not state-dominated. Our study adopts an accelerator model in which the system-Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) is used to construct our estimates. Our empirical results suggest that domestic investment responds positively to outward FDI in China. Furthermore, the FDI outflows influence domestic investment differently according to the level of government support for individual industries. Such influence is much stronger in state-dominated industries than in those that are not state-dominated.JEL Classification: E22, F21, O16, P23

No abstract

In this paper we examine the determinants of China's equilibrium real effective exchange rate and investigate the misalignments in the Renminbi. This paper makes a number of theoretical and empirical contributions. At the theoretical level, we extend the NATREX model to incorporate a large number of economic fundamentals that capture the unique features of the Chinese economy. At the empirical level, this is the first application of the extended NATREX model to China. Another contribution is that we estimate the extended NATREX model for both the pre-and post-reform periods. We have constructed a unique data set of consistent time series for the effective exchange rate and a large number of economic fundamentals for China since the 1950s. A further contribution is the use of total and net factor productivity obtained from an estimated production function. We find strong evidence of persistent undervaluation of the RMB during 1994-2005, accelerating in particularly after 2000.However the misalignment rates are much lower than those reported by previous studies. We also find weak evidence of overvaluation for most of the pre-reform period. For the rest of the sample period, there was no persistent misalignment.

The full-text may be used and/or reproduced, and given to third parties in any format or medium, without prior permission or charge, for personal research or study, educational, or not-for-prot purposes provided that: • a full bibliographic reference is made to the original source • a link is made to the metadata record in DRO • the full-text is not changed in any way The full-text must not be sold in any format or medium without the formal permission of the copyright holders.

This paper investigates the degree of global versus regional financial integration in Southeast Asia during the period 2004-2012. We examine integration in the money and bond markets in Asia by employing a covered-interest-parity-based measure of financial integration. The impact of the 2008 financial crisis as well as the recent regional bond initiatives on the integration process of Asian money and bond markets are specifically investigated. Empirically, we adopt the Phillips and Sul (2007) convergence methodology that has not been previously employed to examine the integration process in Asian money and bond markets. We find evidence of both global and regional integration in the money market pre 2008 but once the crisis hit, the process of global integration comes to an abrupt halt. However, regional integration, albeit at a slower pace, is still clearly evident in the post-crisis period. As for the Asian bond market, evidence of both global and regional integration is found but, in comparison, the latter is more convergent post 2008. Regional integration is stronger when interest rates with longer maturity are considered. In addition, we identify some convergent sub-groups of countries and this suggests that a multi-tiered style of convergence is present.