Recent studies in streams and ponds have demonstrated that the distribution and biomass of aquatic organisms can be estimated by detection and quantification of environmental DNA (eDNA). In more open systems such as seas, it is not evident whether eDNA can represent the distribution and biomass of aquatic organisms because various environmental factors (e.g., water flow) are expected to affect eDNA distribution and concentration. To test the relationships between the distribution of fish and eDNA, we conducted a grid survey in Maizuru Bay, Sea of Japan, and sampled surface and bottom waters while monitoring biomass of the Japanese jack mackerel (Trachurus japonicus) using echo sounder technology. A linear model showed a high R2 value (0.665) without outlier data points, and the association between estimated eDNA concentrations from the surface water samples and echo intensity was significantly positive, suggesting that the estimated spatial variation in eDNA concentration can reflect the local biomass of the jack mackerel. We also found that a best-fit model included echo intensity obtained within 10–150 m from water sampling sites, indicating that the estimated eDNA concentration most likely reflects fish biomass within 150 m in the bay. Although eDNA from a wholesale fish market partially affected eDNA concentration, we conclude that eDNA generally provides a ‘snapshot’ of fish distribution and biomass in a large area. Further studies in which dynamics of eDNA under field conditions (e.g., patterns of release, degradation, and diffusion of eDNA) are taken into account will provide a better estimate of fish distribution and biomass based on eDNA.

Environmental DNA (eDNA) metabarcoding is a recently developed method to assess biodiversity based on a high-throughput parallel DNA sequencing applied to DNA present in the ecosystem. Although eDNA metabarcoding enables a rapid assessment of biodiversity, it is prone to species detection errors that may occur at sequential steps in field sampling, laboratory experiments, and bioinformatics. In this study, we illustrate how the error rates in the eDNA metabarcoding-based species detection can be accounted for by applying the multispecies occupancy modelling framework. We report a case study with the eDNA sample from an aquarium tank in which the detection probabilities of species in the two major steps of eDNA metabarcoding, filtration and PCR, across a range of PCR annealing temperatures, were examined. We also show that the results can be used to examine the efficiency of species detection under a given experimental design and setting, in terms of the efficiency of species detection, highlighting the usefulness of the multispecies site occupancy modelling framework to study the optimum conditions for molecular experiments.

We propose a general framework of abundance estimation based on spatially replicated quantitative measurements of environmental DNA in which production, transport, and degradation of DNA are explicitly accounted for. Application to a Japanese jack mackerel (Trachurus japonicus) population in Maizuru Bay revealed that the method gives an estimate of population abundance comparable to that of a quantitative echo sounder method. These findings indicate the ability of environmental DNA to reliably reflect population abundance of aquatic macroorganisms and may offer a new avenue for population monitoring based on the fast, cost-effective, and non-invasive sampling of genetic information.Knowledge on the distribution and abundance of species is crucial for ecology and related applied fields such as wildlife management and fisheries. The detection and quantification of environmental DNA (eDNA) is an emerging methodology for ecological studies and could enhance the ability of investigators to infer occurrence and abundance of species. This approach has been applied, especially but not limited to, to aquatic species such as fish and amphibians and has been identified as a powerful and yet cost-effective tool for species detection (Bohmann et al. 2014, Rees