The ROSE rule has excellent sensitivity and negative predictive value in the identification of high-risk patients with syncope. As a component, BNP seems to be a major predictor of serious cardiovascular outcomes and all-cause death. The ROSE rule and BNP measurement might be valuable risk stratification tools in patients with emergency presentations of syncope and should now be subjected to external validation.
Chapter 1. Introduction, Background and Literature review.... Chapter 2. Study aims, Objectives and Research Questions.. . Chapter 3. UK ED survey 44 Chapter 4. Pilot and Main Study Methodology Chapter 5. Results: Derivation of the Clinical Decision Rule. .. Chapter 6. Results: The ROSE Rule Chapter 7. Results: Validation of the Clinical Decision Rule. .. Chapter 8. Results: Performance of the ROSE rule and comparison to existing guidelines Chapter 9. The role of Troponin 1 Chapter 10. The role of D-Dimer Chapter 11. Final discussion, suggestions for further work and conclusions References Appendices Total thesis word count = 29418 words (excluding references and appendices) Et al. has been used when there are more than three authors. If an author has more than one citation in any one year, the year has been referenced in the text. If there are many citations in any one year, each is referenced with the year followed by a, b, c, etc.
Aims: This study was conducted as a feasibility pilot for the Risk stratification Of Syncope in the Emergency department (ROSE) study. The secondary aim was to compare the performance of our existing emergency department (ED) guidelines with existing clinical decision rules (Osservatorio Epidemiologico sulla Sincope nel Lazio (OESIL) Score and San Francisco Syncope Rule; SFSR) at predicting short-term (1 week and 1 month) and medium-term (3 months) serious outcomes for patients with syncope presenting to the ED. Methods: This was a prospective cohort study. All patients presenting with syncope aged >16 years between 7 November 2005 and 7 February 2006 were prospectively enrolled. Results: 99 patients were recruited over a 3-month period. 44 patients were admitted and 55 discharged from the ED. 11 patients had a serious outcome: 8 by 7 days and a further 3 by 3 months. Five patients died by 3 months and six others had an alternative serious outcome. All 11 patients had been admitted from the ED, 7 were at high risk, 4 were at medium risk and none were at low risk according to our existing ED guidelines. Percentages of serious outcomes were 0%, 2.9%, 8.0%, 22.7% and 37.5% for OESIL scores of 0, 1, 2, 3 and 4 respectively. 40 patients had none of the 5 SFSR high-risk factors (0 serious outcomes = 0%) and 59 patients had an SFSR high-risk factor (11 serious outcomes = 18.6%). The risk of serious outcome at 7 days, 1 month and 3 months was 8.1%, 8.1% and 11.1%, respectively. Conclusions: A study to derive and validate a UK ED syncope clinical decision rule is feasible. This pilot study has evaluated the OESIL score, the SFSR and our existing ED guidelines, and has shown that each is able to identify an increased probability of medium-term serious outcome in patients with syncope. The SFSR shows good sensitivity at the expense of an increase in admissions to hospital; however, our existing ED syncope guidelines and the OESIL Score, although being able to successfully risk stratify patients, are not sufficiently sensitive to be able to reduce admissions without missing patients at risk of a serious outcome. Undoubtedly there is a need for a simple UK-derived clinical decision rule for patients presenting with syncope to enable safe, effective clinical care and to aid less experienced decision makers.
Procedural sedation and analgesia by Emergency Physicians is safe and effective; however, complications do happen. Complications are more likely at deeper levels of sedation and at night. Emergency Physicians must have the necessary skills and equipment to deal with such complications when they arise. EDs must be adequately staffed with trained clinicians 24 h a day to provide PSA.
Aims: To assess the value of a near-patient brain natriuretic peptide (BNP) test to predict medium term (3 month) serious outcome for adult syncope patients presenting to a UK emergency department (ED). Methods: This was a prospective cohort pilot study. Consecutive patients aged >16 years presenting with syncope over a 3 month period were eligible for prospective enrolment. All patients who were medium or high risk according to our ED's existing syncope guidelines underwent near-patient BNP testing using the Triage point of care machine. Results: 99 patients were recruited. 72 of 82 high and medium risk patients underwent BNP measurement. 11 patients had a serious outcome, 9 of whom had BNP measured. In 25 (35%) patients, BNP was >100 pg/ml, and in 3 of these it was .1000 pg/ml. 6 of the 25 patients (24%) with a BNP .100 pg/ml, and all 3 patients with a BNP .1000 pg/ml, were in the serious outcome group. BNP was raised over 100 pg/ml in 6 of the 9 serious outcome patients having a BNP measured (66%), and over 1000 pg/ml in 3 (33%). Conclusions: This early work suggests that BNP may have a role in the risk assessment of syncope patients in the ED. Further work is required to see how BNP interacts with other clinical variables. Near-patient BNP testing may be shown to be an independent predictor of adverse outcome either alone or incorporated into existing syncope clinical decision rules and scores in order to improve their sensitivity and specificity. Further studies are required to evaluate this.
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