No abstract

This study empirically investigates the upshot of money supply on inflation in Nigeria using annual time series data spanning from 1970 to 2016. Co-integration and Autoregressive Dynamic Error Correction Model (ADLECM) approach was utilized. The results showed that money supply does not considerably influence inflation both in the long and short run possibly because the country is in recession. The ECM has the correct sign of negative and it is significant meaning that about 21% of the errors are corrected yearly. The Granger causality outcome demonstrates that, there is no causality between money supply and inflation in Nigeria within the study period and vice-versa. The implication of this is often that there are different economic conditions which are key determinant of inflation in Nigeria. The study recommends that the government should diversify the economy, minimize importation by encouraging local production of products and services. The CBN should guarantee an exchange rate policy that is essentially determined by the state of the economy and not by speculators being a net importation economy. Also, the CBN should look inwards into the current interest rate and see how it can be regulated in such a way that will encourage private and foreign investors to be able to invest in the country. This in turn, successively increases income, infrastructure development and economic growth at large.

This paper investigated the dynamic interrelationship between macroeconomic fundamentals and stock prices in Nigeria using time series data spanning from 1980 to 2016. The study made use of co-integration test and the error correction mechanism. Empirical estimates revealed pointedly that there is a long run correlation between macroeconomic fundamentals and stock prices in Nigeria. Similarly, in the short run, the previous values of money supply and interest rate were found to demonstrate a significant effect on stock prices. Also, the previous value of stock market return was found to show significant influence on the current stock prices. Markedly, the results revealed that the natural logarithm of real gross domestic product is a leading indicator that stimulates stock prices in the long and short run. Based on the above findings the study recommends that the Central Bank of Nigeria should carry out prudent macroeconomic policies to derive the best from the stock market. Furthermore, the government should look into the high rate of inflation since it is one of the most significant macroeconomic indicators used to analyze the economic conditions of a country.