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Context The cost-effectiveness of 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV13) compared with 23-valent pneumococcal polysaccharide vaccine (PPSV23) among US adults is unclear. Objective To estimate the cost-effectiveness of PCV13 vaccination strategies in adults to assist vaccination policy decision-making. Design, Setting, and Population A Markov state-transition model, lifetime time horizon, societal perspective. Simulations were performed in hypothetical cohorts of US 50-year-olds. Vaccination strategies and effectiveness estimates were developed by a Delphi expert panel; indirect (herd immunity) effects resulting from childhood PCV13 vaccination were extrapolated based on observed PCV7 effects. Data sources for model parameters included CDC Active Bacterial Core surveillance, National Hospital Discharge Survey and Nationwide Inpatient Sample data, and the National Health Interview Survey. Main Outcome Measures Pneumococcal disease cases prevented and incremental costs per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) gained. Results In the base case scenario, PCV13 given as a substitute for PPSV23 in current recommendations (i.e., vaccination at 65 years and at younger ages if comorbidities are present) cost $28,900/QALY gained compared with no vaccination and was more cost-effective than the currently recommended PPSV23 strategy. Routine PCV13 at ages 50 and 65 years cost $45,100/QALY compared with PCV13 substituted in current recommendations. Adding PPSV23 at age 75 to PCV13 at ages 50 and 65 years gained 0.00002 QALYs, costing $496,000/QALY gained. Results were robust in sensitivity analyses and alternative scenarios, except when low PCV13 effectiveness against nonbacteremic pneumococcal pneumonia was assumed or when greater childhood vaccination indirect effects were modeled. In these cases, PPSV23 as currently recommended was favored. Conclusions Overall, PCV13 vaccination was favored compared to PPSV23, but the analysis is sensitive to assumptions about PCV13 effectiveness against NPP and the magnitude of potential indirect effects from childhood PCV13 on pneumococcal serotype distribution.
The cost-effectiveness of the varicella zoster vaccine varies substantially with patient age and often exceeds $100,000 per quality-adjusted life year saved. Age should be considered in vaccine recommendations.
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