Background Sixty percent of Crohn’s disease (CD) patients require intestinal resection, and 20% of ulcerative colitis (UC) patients undergo proctocolectomy for medically refractory disease. Scarcity of literature about predictors for surgical intervention in inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) encouraged the conduction of this study to assess risk factors for surgical intervention in IBD patients. Results This cohort study included 80 Egyptian inflammatory bowel disease patients recruited from two medical centers. Patients were classified into two groups, 40 patients each, according to their need for surgical intervention to control inflammatory bowel disease. The two groups were compared regarding age of onset, type and location of disease, smoking, extraintestinal manifestations, perianal disease, granuloma, severity scores, stool calprotectin, complete blood count, erythrocyte sedimentation rate, C-reactive protein, and serum albumin at diagnosis for Crohn’s disease patients. Twelve ulcerative colitis and 28 Crohn’s disease patients required surgical intervention in the form of total colectomy (30%), fistulectomy (32.5%), resection anastomosis (17.5%) or abscess drainage (20%). Perianal disease, smoking, and disease severity scores showed high significant differences (P value < 0.001); disease type and presence of granuloma showed statistically significant difference (P value < 0.05) between both groups. But, patient age at onset, location of the disease or extraintestinal manifestation had no statistical significance (P value > 0.5). Surgical interventions were more likely to be needed in patients with higher stool calprotectin level, C-reactive protein, erythrocyte sedimentation rate, and lower serum albumin for Crohn’s disease patients (P value < 0.001 for each). Conclusion Smoking, perianal disease, higher severity scores, stool calprotectin, C-reactive protein, and erythrocyte sedimentation rate levels are predictors of surgical treatment.

Background Inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) is comprised of two major disorders: Ulcerative Colitis and Crohn’s disease. Ulcerative Colitis affects the colon, where as Crohn’s disease can involve any component of the gastrointestinal tract from the mouth to the perianal area. These disorders have somewhat different pathologic and clinical characteristics, but with substantial overlap; their pathogenesis remains poorly understood. Objective To determine & detect different predictors that help us to characterize patients with high probability of undergoing surgical intervention for inflammatory bowel diseases. Patients and Methods The present study was designed to detect & identify possible factors that can be used to predict surgical intervention in patients with IBD. The present study was a case control study that was conducted on 80 patients with inflammatory bowel disease (either controlled by medical treatment or needed surgical intervention as a part of disease control) who were recruited form Ain-Shams university hospitals and El Quabbary general hospital in Alexandria. In the present study, the mean age of the included patients was 36.67 ±8.5 years old and 50% of the patients were males. The mean age at the onset of the disease was 25.81 ±6.8 years old. Results In the present study, there were statistically significant differences between surgical and medical patients in terms of CDAI for CD (p &lt; 0.001) and Mayo score for UC (p &lt; 0.001). Surgical patients were more likely to have higher scores. CDAI and Mayo score were negative predictors of surgical treatment. CDAI score &gt; 287 and Mayo score &gt; 8.5 achieved high sensitivity and specificity for the detection of surgical treatment. In the present study, we found that there was statistically significant differences between surgical and medical patients in terms of Stool Calprotectin level. Surgical patients were more likely to have higher Stool Calprotectin level. Stool Calprotectin level was negative predictor of surgical treatment at a level of &gt; 341.5 microgm/gm with high sensitivity and specificity. Conclusion Surgical treatment is a common outcome in IBD. Certain clinical features and the extent of disease are risk factors for surgical intervention. Our study indicates that smoking, Chron’s disease, perianal disease, granulomas, higher severity scores, higher stool Calprotectin level, CRP, and ESR were associated with higher risks of surgical intervention. In addition, smoking, peri-anal disease, CDAI, Mayo score, Stool Calprotectin level, and CRP level were predictors of surgical treatment. The findings of our analysis have implications for practice, particularly in the promotion of preoperative individualized risk prediction. The ability to predict which patients will need surgery and target more intensive, early treatment to that group would be invaluable. Further research through large prospective cohort studies is needed to confirm our findings and conclusions.