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The paper aims to analyze the possible implications of the decisions taken by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) in its monetary policy committee (MPC) meeting in the year 2019 for the Indian economy. The MPC is a committee of the Central Bank in India (RBI), headed by its Governor, which is entrusted with the task of fixing the benchmark policy interest rate (repo rate) to contain inflation within the specified target level. Throughout the year the MPC has reduced the policy repo rate and changed its stance from neutral to accommodative. The macroeconomic impact of such decisions has been analyzed in an IS-LM framework. The impact of the corporate tax cut done by the Finance Minister has also been analyzed using the IS-LM and AD-AS approach. The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) is a committee of the Reserve bank of India (RBI) headed by its Governor. The MPC is entrusted with the task of fixing the benchmark policy repo rate to contain inflation within the required target level. As defined in Section 2 (iii) of the Reserve Bank of India Act, 1934 and constituted under subsection (1) of section 45ZB of the same Act MPC with the aid and advice of his internal team and a technical advisory committee, has complete control over monetary policy decisions.

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The article estimates the disaggregated import demand function for India using annual time series data for the period 1995–2017. The empirical results reveal strong evidence of long-run stable relationship among the variables considered in the study. The disaggregated import demand function is estimated for India using linear and non-linear ARDL model. The estimated linear ARDL model shows that gross capital formation, exports and relative prices affect import demand positively and significantly, both in the short and long run. While the impact of final consumption expenditure was found to be insignificant in the short run, it affects import demand significantly and positively in the long run. On the other hand, the result of the non-linear ARDL model shows the evidence of asymmetry in the impact of relative prices (positive and negative changes) on import demand, both in the short and long run. JEL Codes: F41, B17, B41, C51

The paper aims to examine the ability of a global fear index (GFI) based on the COVID-19 pandemic and government policy responses as a measure of uncertainty in predicting eight Indian rupee-based exchange rate return series: the Australian dollar, the Canadian dollar, the Swiss franc, the US dollar, the euro, the British pound sterling, the New Zealand dollar, and the Japanese yen. The predictability of the daily Indian rupee-based exchange rate return series is tested using the recently developed wild bootstrap likelihood ratio test of Kim and Shamsuddin for the period 2 October 2020 to 8 March 2021. Both symmetric and asymmetric tests revealed GFI as an insignificant determinant of the Indian rupee-based exchange rate return series. However, government policy responses are a significant determinant of the rupee-dollar exchange rate return series.