The objective of this paper is to estimate the trend of Total Ozone Column (TOC) over Togo. Multi Sensor Reanalysis-2 (MSR-2) TOC over the entire territory of Togo were used. Multiple Linear Regression (MLR) method has been applied to retrieve the interannual contributions of different forcings and the long term variability. It was found that the Annual Oscillation (AnO), the Quasi Biennial Oscillation at 30 mb (QBO30), the Solar Flux (SF), and the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) have statistically significant influence on the interannual variability of the TOC. The strongest contribution (22 ± 1.4 DU) is allocated to the AnO while the weakest (< 1 DU) is attributed to the Semi-Annual Oscillations (SAnO). Before the peak year of Equivalent Effective Stratospheric Chlorine (EESC) in tropics in 1997 the trend is negative (- 0.3% ± 0.9% per decade) and is not statistically significant. After the peak year, a statistically significant positive trend is observed. The trend of TOC is 0.6% ± 0.2% per decade. The monthly TOC trend over Togo is positive and statistically significant during the rainy season (particularly during the monsoon period) except in April, unlike during the harmatan period (DJF) where the trend is not significant.
Background:Several IPCC scenarios have predicted a global temperature increase of 1.5°C by 2030 attributable to greenhouse gases (GHGs) including hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs) controlled by the Kigali Amendment. Objectives:Thus, this study aims to simulate the increase in global temperature by 2030 attributed only to HFC emissions in Togo, given that the country is a party to the Kigali amendment and the Paris agreement. Methods:The methodology applied in this study is based on the projection to 2030 of HFC emissions in 2018 in order to simulate their impact on global average temperature using the LEAP-IBC tool. Results:HFCs emissions in Togo will reach 2598.13 GgCO2-e and will contribute to the increase in global average temperature by representing 18/100000 of the 0.5°C over the period 2018 to 2030 predicted by the IPCC scenarios. This increase attributed to the HFCs sector alone in Togo once again shows the impact of GHG on global average temperature.These results should therefore alert political decision-makers to redouble their efforts in the implementation of mitigation measures.
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