IMPORTANCE Although surgery offers the best chance of a potential cure for patients with localized, resectable intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC), prognosis of patients remains dismal largely because of a high incidence of recurrence.OBJECTIVE To predict very early recurrence (VER) (ie, recurrence within 6 months after surgery) following resection for ICC in the pre-and postoperative setting. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTSPatients who underwent curative-intent resection for ICC between May 1990 and July 2016 were identified from an international multi-institutional database. The study was conducted at The Ohio State University in collaboration with all other participating institutions. The data were analyzed in December 2019. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURESTwo logistic regression models were constructed to predict VER based on pre-and postoperative variables. The final models were used to develop an online calculator to predict VER and the tool was internally and externally validated. RESULTS Among 880 patients (median age, 59 years [interquartile range, 51-68 years]; 388 women [44.1%]; 428 [50.2%] white; 377 [44.3%] Asian; 27 [3.2%] black]), 196 (22.3%) developed VER.The 5-year overall survival among patients with and without VER was 8.9% vs 49.8%, respectively (P < .001). A preoperative model was able to stratify patients relative to the risk for VER: low risk (6-month recurrence-free survival [RFS], 87.7%), intermediate risk (6-month RFS, 72.3%), and high risk (6-month RFS, 49.5%) (log-rank P < .001). The postoperative model similarly identified discrete cohorts of patients based on probability for VER: low risk (6-month RFS, 90.0%), intermediate risk (6-month RFS, 73.1%), and high risk (6-month RFS, 48.5%) (log-rank, P < .001). The calibration and predictive accuracy of the pre-and postoperative models were good in the training (C index: preoperative, 0.710; postoperative, 0.722) as well as the internal (C index: preoperative, 0.715; postoperative, 0.728; bootstrapping resamples, n = 5000) and external (C index: postoperative, 0.672) validation data sets. CONCLUSION AND RELEVANCEAn easy-to-use online calculator was developed to help clinicians predict the chance of VER after curative-intent resection for ICC. The tool performed well on internal and external validation. This tool may help clinicians in the preoperative selection of patients for neoadjuvant therapy as well as during the postoperative period to inform surveillance strategies.

Background Although the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) staging system has been largely adopted in clinical practice, recent studies have emphasized the need for further refinement and subclassification of this system. Methods Patients who underwent hepatectomy with curative intent for BCLC‐0, ‐A or ‐B hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) between 2000 and 2017 were identified using a multi‐institutional database. The tumour burden score (TBS) was calculated, and overall survival (OS) was examined in relation to TBS and BCLC stage. Results Among 1053 patients, 63 (6·0 per cent) had BCLC‐0, 826 (78·4 per cent) BCLC‐A and 164 (15·6 per cent) had BCLC‐B HCC. OS worsened incrementally with higher TBS (5‐year OS 77·9, 61 and 39 per cent for low, medium and high TBS respectively; P < 0·001). No differences in OS were noted among patients with similar TBS, irrespective of BCLC stage (61·6 versus 58·9 per cent for BCLC‐A/medium TBS versus BCLC‐B/medium TBS, P = 0·930; 45 versus 13 per cent for BCLC‐A/high TBS versus BCLC‐B/high TBS, P = 0·175). Patients with BCLC‐B HCC and a medium TBS had better OS than those with BCLC‐A disease and a high TBS (58·9 versus 45 per cent; P = 0·005). On multivariable analysis, TBS remained associated with OS among patients with BCLC‐A (medium TBS: hazard ratio (HR) 2·07, 95 per cent c.i. 1·42 to 3·02, P < 0·001; high TBS: HR 4·05, 2·40 to 6·82, P < 0·001) and BCLC‐B (high TBS: HR 3·85, 2·03 to 7·30; P < 0·001) HCC. TBS could also stratify prognosis among patients in an external validation cohort (5‐year OS 79, 51·2 and 28 per cent for low, medium and high TBS respectively; P = 0·010). Conclusion The prognosis of patients with HCC varied according to the BCLC stage but was largely dependent on the TBS.

Introduction Intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) remains an uncommon disease with a rising incidence worldwide. We sought to identify trends in therapeutic approaches and differences in patient outcomes based on facility types. Methods Between January 1, 2004, and December 31, 2015, a total of 27,120 patients with histologic diagnosis of ICC were identified in the National Cancer Database and were enrolled in this study. Results The incidence of ICC patients increased from 1194 in 2004 to 3821 in 2015 with an average annual increase of 4.16% (p \ 0.001). Median survival of the cohort improved over the last 6 years of the study period (2004-2009: 8.05 months vs. 2010-2015: 9.49 months; p \ 0.001). Among surgical patients (n = 5943, 21.9%), the incidence of R0 resection, lymphadenectomy and harvest of C6 lymph nodes increased over time (p \ 0.001). Positive surgical margins (referent R0: R1, HR 1.49, 95% CI 1.24-1.79, p \ 0.001) and treatment at community cancer centers (referent academic centers; HR 1.24, 95% CI 1.04-1.49, p = 0.023) were associated with a worse prognosis. Patients treated at academic centers had higher rates of R0 resection (72.4% vs. 67.7%; p = 0.006) and lymphadenectomy (55.6% vs. 49.5%, p = 0.009) versus community cancer centers. Overall survival was also better at academic versus community cancer programs (median OS: 11 months versus 6 months, respectively; p \ 0.001). Conclusions The incidence of ICC has increased over the last 12 years in the USA with a moderate improvement in survival over time. Treatment at academic cancer centers was associated with higher R0 resection and lymphadenectomy rates, as well as improved OS for patients with ICC.Lu Wu and Diamantis I. Tsilimigras contributed equally to this work.