Background While progress has been made in the identification of Crohn’s disease (CD) susceptibility loci, efforts to identify a genetic basis for disease progression have been less fruitful. The specific aim of this study was to build upon the major genetic advances made in IBD by applying genome-wide technologies toward predicting disease progression in CD. Methods Crohn’s disease cases (n = 1495) from 3 IBD centers were reviewed by experienced physicians. Clinical and demographic details were collected, focusing on the time to first disease progression. Genome-wide association (GWA) analysis was carried out on 3 clinical outcomes: 1) time to disease progression; 2) time to first abdominal surgery; and 3) a binary analysis of indolent vs progressive disease. Cox-proportional hazard and logistic regression models were used. Results A GWA analysis was carried out to determine any genetic variation associated with the time to disease progression; 662 cases were included after quality control (QC) and exclusion of any cases with B2/B3 behavior at baseline (n = 450). There were 1360 cases included after QC in the time to abdominal surgery analysis. No variant reached genome-wide significance in any of the 3 analyses performed. Eight known IBD susceptibility single nucleotide polymorphism (SNPs) were found to be associated with time-to-abdominal surgery SMAD3 (rs17293632), CCR6 (rs1819333), CNTF (rs11229555), TSPAN14 (rs7097656), CARD9 (rs10781499), IPMK (rs2790216), IL10 (rs3024505), and SMURF1 (rs9297145) (P < 0.05). Conclusion Our GWA study failed to show any SNP-phenotype association reaching genome-wide significance. It is likely that multiple variables affect disease progression, with genetic factors potentially having only a small effect size.

FDR of CD-affected individuals are enriched with IBD risk alleles compared with HC. Cumulative CD-specific genetic risk is increased in FDR compared with HC. Prospective studies are required to determine if genotyping would facilitate better risk stratification of FDR.

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