In practices, most industrial products are subject to sudden failure and only failure information can be collected, which presents a great challenge for reliability prediction of modern devices. To address this issue, our paper proposes a dynamic reliability estimation and control for industrial products under regular failure trials. The failure trial is performed at different operational time points of the products, which provides sole data source for evaluating the status of industrial products. We use Bayesian approach to dynamically estimate the industrial products when the failure trial is available. The estimated reliability is updated using a point estimate with new available data. To maintain the reliability of products at a desirable status, a reliability control method is presented to monitor the confidence interval of reliability distribution. The lower limit of confidence interval is maintained above a control limit, which indicates that a corresponding quality-assurance action is preferable. The proposed reliability estimation and control approach is demonstrated using a case of light-emitting diodes under failure trials at production process. The obtained results indicate the effectiveness of our estimation and control model.

This paper proposes a condition-based maintenance strategy for multi-component systems under degradation failures. The maintenance decision is based on the minimum long-run average cost rate (LACR) and the maximum residual useful lifetime (RUL), respectively. The aim of this paper is to determine the optimal monitoring interval and critical level for multi-component systems under different optimization objectives. A preventive maintenance (PM) is triggered when the degradation of component exceeds the corresponding critical level. Afterwards, the paper discusses the relationship between the critical level and the monitoring interval with regards to the LACR and RUL. Methods are also proposed to determine the optimal monitoring interval and the critical level under two decision models. Finally, the impact of maintenance decision variables on the LACR and RUL is discussed through a case study. A comparison with conventional maintenance policy shows an outstanding performance of the new model.

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