Postpartum thyroid dysfunction (PPTD) occurs in 5% of women, with hypothyroidism developing in 23% of these after 3-5 yr. We have determined the prognostic significance of thyroid peroxidase antibody (TPOAb), thyroid ultrasound morphology (U/S), human leukocyte antigen haplotype, and postpartum thyroid status on the development of thyroid dysfunction 77-81 months after PPTD. Ninety-eight TPOAb-positive [48 who had developed PPTD (group 1) and 50 without PPTD (group 2)] and 70 TPOAb-negative (group 3) women (derived from 145 TPOAb-positive and 229 TPOAb-negative cohorts at the index pregnancy), with comparable ages, parity, pregnancies after index pregnancy, and follow-up duration, were studied. Thyroid dysfunction occurred in 46% of group 1 vs. 4% of group 2 (P<0.001) and 24.5% of groups 1 and 2 vs. 1.4% of group 3 (P<0.001). Factors predictive of thyroid dysfunction included a hypothyroid form of PPTD, TSH more than 20 mU/L, and higher TPOAb levels (213.8 kIU/L in group 1 vs. 131.8 kIU/L in group 2; P<0.002) during the postpartum period. Although TPOAb was higher in group 1 than in group 2 at follow-up (166 vs. 97.7 kIU/L; P<0.03), there was no significant fall in TPOAb levels within either group during the period of follow-up. The prevalence of ultrasound hypoechogenicity was higher in group 1 than in group 2 at follow-up (76% vs. 52%; P<0.006), but U/S improved in 62.5% of group 1 during the period of follow-up. Human leukocyte antigen DR10 was lower in those who developed late thyroid dysfunction. These data, representing the longest follow-up of PPTD women, clearly show that the hypothyroid form of PPTD, high TPOAb levels, and a hypoechogenic U/S pattern lead to a high risk (relative risk, 32) of long term thyroid dysfunction. This compares with a relative risk of 12.9 for TPOAb- and PPTD-positive women, who remained euthyroid at the end of the first postpartum year, and 2.8 for TPOAb-positive but PPTD-negative women, all compared to TPOAb-negative women. Therefore, long term surveillance of TPOAb- and PPTD-positive women (group 1) is indicated.

Thyroid hormone is essential for maintaining a pregnancy and ensuring fetal development. Thyroid disorders are common in women of childbearing age and as pregnancy has a substantial impact on the hypothalamic–pituitary–thyroid axis, abnormal thyroid function is frequently encountered in antenatal clinics. It is also well established that overt thyroid disease is associated with adverse obstetric and offspring neuro-developmental outcomes. There is now growing concern that more marginal degrees of thyroid dysfunction particularly subclinical hypothyroidism (elevated TSH and normal fT4 concentration) and isolated hypothyroxinaemia (normal TSH and low fT4) are also associated with fetal loss, prematurity and impaired offspring cognitive function. In some studies, maternal thyroid autoimmunity has also been identified as a potential risk for fetal loss even in euthyroid women. Correction of overt hypothyroidism and hyperthyroidism dramatically reduces the risk of major adverse obstetric outcomes including fetal loss and premature birth.