No abstract

Background and Purpose-The annual risk of ischemic stroke distal to Ն50% asymptomatic carotid stenoses was Ϸ2% to 3% in early cohort studies and subsequent randomized trials of endarterectomy. This risk might have fallen in recent years owing to improvements in medical treatment, but there are no published prognostic data from studies initiated within the last 10 years. Methods-In a population-based study of all patients with transient ischemic attack (TIA) or stroke in the Oxford Vascular Study, we studied the risk of TIA and stroke in patients with Ն50% contralateral asymptomatic carotid stenoses recruited consecutively from 2002 to 2009 and given intensive contemporary medical treatment. Results-Of 1153 consecutively imaged patients presenting with stroke or TIA, 101 (8.8%) had Ն50% asymptomatic carotid stenoses (mean age, 75 years; 39% women; 40% age Ն80 years). During 301 patient-years of follow-up (mean, 3 years), there were 6 ischemic events in the territory of an asymptomatic stenosis, 1 minor stroke (initially 50% to 69% stenosis), and 5 TIAs (2 initially 50% to 69% stenosis; 3 to 70% to 99% stenosis), 3 of which led to subsequent endarterectomy. The average annual event rates on medical treatment were 0.34% (95% CI, 0.01 to 1.87) for any ipsilateral ischemic stroke, 0% (95% CI, 0.00 to 0.99) for disabling ipsilateral stroke, and 1.78% (95% CI, 0.58 to 4.16) for ipsilateral TIA. Conclusions-In the first study of the prognosis of Ն50% asymptomatic carotid stenosis to be initiated in the last 10 years, the risk of stroke on intensive contemporary medical treatment was low. Larger studies are required to determine whether this apparent improvement in prognosis is generalizable. (Stroke. 2010;41:e11-e17.)

Background and Purpose-Cardioembolism in paroxysmal atrial fibrillation (pxAF) is a frequent cause of ischemic stroke. Sensitive detection of pxAF after stroke is crucial for adequate secondary stroke prevention; the optimal diagnostic modality to detect pxAF on stroke units is unknown. We compared 24-hour Holter electrocardiography (ECG) with continuous stroke unit ECG monitoring (CEM) for pxAF detection. Methods-Patients

The higher risk of early recurrent stroke after posterior circulation transient ischaemic attack or minor stroke versus after carotid territory events could be due to a greater prevalence of large artery stenosis, but there have been few imaging studies, and the prognostic significance of such stenoses is uncertain. Reliable data are necessary to determine the feasibility of trials of angioplasty and stenting and to inform imaging strategies. In the first-ever population-based study, we determined the prevalence of > or = 50% apparently symptomatic vertebral and basilar stenosis using contrast-enhanced MRA in consecutive patients, irrespective of age, presenting with posterior circulation transient ischaemic attack or minor ischaemic stroke in the Oxford Vascular Study and related this to the 90-day risk of recurrent transient ischaemic attack and stroke. For comparison, we also determined the prevalence of > or = 50% apparently symptomatic carotid stenosis on ultrasound imaging in consecutive patients with carotid territory events. Of 538 consecutive patients, 141/151 (93%) had posterior circulation events and had vertebral and basilar imaging, of whom 37 (26.2%) had > or = 50% vertebral and basilar stenosis, compared with 41 (11.5%) patients with > or = 50% ipsilateral carotid stenosis in 357/387 (92%) patients with carotid events who had carotid imaging (OR = 2.74; 95% CI = 1.67-4.51; P = 0.002). Presence of > or = 50% vertebral and basilar stenosis was unrelated to age, sex or vascular risk factors and, in contrast to > or = 50% carotid stenosis was not associated with evidence of coronary/peripheral atherosclerosis. In patients with posterior circulation events, > or = 50% vertebral and basilar stenosis was associated multiple transient ischaemic attacks at presentation (22% versus 3%; OR = 9.29; 95% CI = 2.31-37.27; P < 0.001) and with a significantly higher 90-day risk of recurrent events (OR = 3.2; 95% CI = 1.4-7.0; P = 0.006), reaching 22% for stroke and 46% for transient ischaemic attack and stroke. The prevalence of > or = 50% vertebral and basilar stenosis in posterior circulation transient ischaemic attack or minor stroke is greater than the prevalence of > or = 50% carotid stenosis in carotid territory events, and is associated with multiple transient ischaemic attacks at presentation and a high early risk of recurrent stroke. Trials of interventional treatment are therefore likely to be feasible, but more data are required on the long-term risk of stroke on best medical treatment.