Historically, human migrations have determined the spread of many infectious diseases by promoting the emergence of temporal outbreaks between populations. We aimed to analyze health indicators, expenditure, and disability caused by tuberculosis (TB) and HIV/AIDS burden under the Colombian-Venezuelan migration flow focusing on the Northeastern border. A retrospective study was conducted using TB and HIV/AIDS data since 2009. We consolidated a database using official reports from the Colombian Surveillance System, World Health Organization, Indexmundi, the Global Health Observatory, IHME HIV atlas, and Joint United Nations Programme on HIV/AIDS (UNAIDS). Disability metrics regarding DALYs (disability adjusted life years) and YLDs (years lived with disability), were compared between countries. Mapping was performed on ArcGIS using official migration data of Venezuelan citizens. Our results indicate that TB profiles from Colombia and Venezuela are identical in terms of disease burden, except for an increase in TB incidence in the Colombian-Venezuelan border departments in recent years, concomitantly with the massive Venezuelan immigration since 2005. We identified a four-fold underfunding for the TB program in Venezuela, which might explain the low-testing rates for cases of multidrug-resistant TB (67%) and HIV/AIDS (60%), as well as extended hospital stays (150 days). We found a significant increase in DALYs of HIV/AIDS patients in Venezuela, specifically, 362.35 compared to 265.37 observed in Colombia during 2017. This study suggests that the Venezuelan massive migration and program underfunding might exacerbate the dual burden of TB and HIV in Colombia, especially towards the Colombian‐Venezuelan border.
Aims & objectives:
The Venezuelan socio-political crisis has boosted massive exodus of Venezuelan citizens due to the shortage of medicines and spread of some preventable infectious diseases. We aimed to assess the impact of tuberculosis (TB) and HIV burden, health expenditure and the cost of illness under the framework of Colombian-Venezuelan migration flow focused on Norte de Santander, Santander, and La Guajira provinces.
Methods:
A retrospective study was conducted including TB and HIV data between 2009-2018. A database was made based on the records from the Colombian Surveillance System (SIVIGILA), official reports of the World Health Organization, Indexmundi, Global Health Observatory, IHME HIV Atlas and UNAIDS. Disability metrics in terms of DALYs (Disability Adjusted Life Years) and YLDs (Years Lived with Disability), were compared between both countries. Interactive maps were carried out by using ArcGIS program and the official migration data of Venezuelan citizens. We performed a phylogenetic analysis by retrieving pol sequences based in HIV cases from Venezuela and Colombia by using MEGA X and HIV Alamos database.
Results:
TB country profiles from Colombia and Venezuela were identical in terms of disease burden in 2017 and 2018. However, the Colombian public health settings reported an increase in the TB incidence above national average (22.1 cases per 100,000 inhabitants) in Santander, Norte de Santander and La Guajira provinces during the last years. Similar situation was observed regarding TB multidrug-resistant, prolonged hospital stays (150 days) and low-testing rates for cases of multidrug-resistant TB (67%) and HIV/AIDS (60%). We identified an underfunding for HIV/AIDS control programs and patient care. Our DALY analysis showed an increased disability in HIV/AIDS patients (362.35 for 2017). Moreover, our phylogenetic analysis shows three defined clusters, which indicate specific linages through specific areas, and shared cluster in the Colombo-Venezuela border.
Conclusions:
This study suggests that the massive migration and program underfunding in Venezuela might exacerbate the dual burden of TB and HIV in Colombia, especially towards the Colombo-Venezuelan border.
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