ObjectivesTo estimate, overall and by organism, the incidence of infectious intestinal disease (IID) in the community, presenting to general practice (GP) and reported to national surveillance.DesignProspective, community cohort study and prospective study of GP presentation conducted between April 2008 and August 2009.SettingEighty-eight GPs across the UK recruited from the Medical Research Council General Practice Research Framework and the Primary Care Research Networks.Participants6836 participants registered with the 88 participating practices in the community study; 991 patients with UK-acquired IID presenting to one of 37 practices taking part in the GP presentation study.Main outcome measuresIID rates in the community, presenting to GP and reported to national surveillance, overall and by organism; annual IID cases and GP consultations by organism.ResultsThe overall rate of IID in the community was 274 cases per 1000 person-years (95% CI 254 to 296); the rate of GP consultations was 17.7 per 1000 person-years (95% CI 14.4 to 21.8). There were 147 community cases and 10 GP consultations for every case reported to national surveillance. Norovirus was the most common organism, with incidence rates of 47 community cases per 1000 person-years and 2.1 GP consultations per 1000 person-years. Campylobacter was the most common bacterial pathogen, with a rate of 9.3 cases per 1000 person-years in the community, and 1.3 GP consultations per 1000 person-years. We estimate that there are up to 17 million sporadic, community cases of IID and 1 million GP consultations annually in the UK. Of these, norovirus accounts for 3 million cases and 130 000 GP consultations, and Campylobacter is responsible for 500 000 cases and 80 000 GP consultations.ConclusionsIID poses a substantial community and healthcare burden in the UK. Control efforts must focus particularly on reducing the burden due to Campylobacter and enteric viruses.
Pulmonary insufficiency is the main cause of death in cystic fibrosis (CF). We analysed forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV1) data of 14 732 patients registered in the European Cystic Fibrosis Society Patient Registry (ECFSPR) database in 2007. We used linear and logistic regressions to investigate associations between FEV1 % predicted and clinical outcomes.Body mass index (BMI), chronic infection by Pseudomonas aeruginosa, pancreatic status and CF-related diabetes (CFRD) showed a statistically significant (all p,0.0001) and clinically relevant effect on FEV1 % pred after adjusting for age. Patients with a lower BMI experience a six-fold increased odds ratio (95% CI 5.0-7.3) of having severe lung disease (FEV1 ,40% pred) compared to patients with normal BMI. Being chronically infected with P. aeruginosa increases the odds ratio of severe lung disease by 2.4 (95% CI 2.0-2.7), and patients with pancreatic insufficiency experience a 2.0-fold increased odds ratio (95% CI 1.6-2.5) of severe lung disease compared to pancreatic sufficient patients. Patients with CFRD have a 1.8-fold increased odds ratio (95% CI 1.6-2.2) compared to patients not affected.These potential risk factors for pulmonary disease in patients with CF are to some degree preventable or treatable. We emphasise the importance of their early identification through frequent routine tests, the implementation of infection control measures, and a timely initiation of relevant therapies. @ERSpublications Independent effect of nutrition, chronic Pseudomonas aeruginosa infection and CF-related diabetes on FEV1 in CF patients
Median survival has increased in people with cystic fibrosis (CF) during the past six decades, which has led to an increased number of adults with CF. The future impact of changes in CF demographics has not been evaluated. The aim of this study was to estimate the number of children and adults with CF in 34 European countries by 2025.Data were obtained from the European Cystic Fibrosis Society Patient Registry. Population forecasts were performed for countries that have extensive CF population coverage and at least 4 years of longitudinal data by modelling future entering and exiting flows in registry cohorts. For the other countries, population projections were performed based on assumptions from knowledge of current CF epidemiology.Western European countries' forecasts indicate that an increase in the overall number of CF patients by 2025, by approximately 50%, corresponds to an increase by 20% and by 75% in children and adults, respectively. In Eastern European countries the projections suggest a predominant increase in the CF child population, although the CF adult population would also increase.It was concluded that a large increase in the adult CF population is expected in the next decade. A significant increase in adult CF services throughout Europe is urgently required. @ERSpublications A large increase in the number of CF adults is expected by 2025 that will require increase in adult CF care services http://ow.ly/INkvb
More than 1900 different mutations in the CFTR gene have been reported. These are grouped into classes according to their effect on the synthesis and/or function of the CFTR protein. CFTR repair therapies that are mutation or mutation class specific are under development. To progress efficiently in the clinical phase of drug development, knowledge of the relative frequency of CFTR mutation classes in different populations is useful. Therefore, we describe the mutation class spectrum in 25,394 subjects with CF from 23 European countries. In 18/23 countries, 80% or more of the patients had at least one class II mutation, explained by F508del being by far the most frequent mutation. Overall 16.4% of European patients had at least one class I mutation but this varied from 3 countries with more than 30% to 4 countries with less than 10% of subjects. Overall only respectively 3.9, 3.3 and 3.0% of European subjects had at least one mutation of classes III, IV and V with again great variability: 14% of Irish patients had at least one class III mutation, 7% of Portuguese patients had at least one class IV mutation, and in 6 countries more than 5% of patients had at least one class V mutation.
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