International audienceWe consider an SIR epidemic model propagating on a Configuration Model network, where the degree distribution of the vertices is given and where the edges are randomly matched. The evolution of the epidemic is summed up into three measure-valued equations that describe the degrees of the susceptible individuals and the number of edges from an infectious or removed individual to the set of susceptibles. These three degree distributions are sufficient to describe the course of the disease. The limit in large population is investigated. As a corollary, this provides a rigorous proof of the equations obtained by Volz (2008)
A Poisson or a binomial process on an abstract state space and a symmetric function f acting on k-tuples of its points are considered. They induce a point process on the target space of f . The main result is a functional limit theorem which provides an upper bound for an optimal transportation distance between the image process and a Poisson process on the target space. The technical background are a version of Stein's method for Poisson process approximation, a Glauber dynamics representation for the Poisson process and the Malliavin formalism. As applications of the main result, error bounds for approximations of U-statistics by Poisson, compound Poisson and stable random variables are derived, and examples from stochastic geometry are investigated.
The Ginibre point process is one of the main examples of determinantal point processes on the complex plane. It forms a recurring model in stochastic matrix theory as well as in practical applications. Since its introduction in random matrix theory, the Ginibre point process has also been used to model random phenomena where repulsion is observed. In this paper, we modify the classical Ginibre point process in order to obtain a determinantal point process more suited for simulation. We also compare three different methods of simulation and discuss the most efficient one depending on the application at hand.Mathematics Subject Classification: 60G55, 65C20.
We show that solving SDEs with constant volatility on the Wiener space is the analog of constructing Hawkes-like processes, i.e. self excited point process, on the Poisson space. Actually, both problems are linked to the invertibility of some transformations of the sample paths which respect absolute continuity: adding an adapted drift for the Wiener space, making a random time change for the Poisson space. Following previous investigations by Üstünel on the Wiener space, we establish an entropic criterion on the Poisson space which ensures the invertibility of such a transformation. As a consequence of this criterion, we improve the variational representation of the entropy with respect to the Poisson process distribution. Pursuing the Wiener-Poisson analogy so established, we define several notions of generalized Hawkes processes as weak or strong solutions of some fixed point equations and show a Yamada-Watanabe like theorem for these new equations. As a consequence, we find another construction of the classical (even non linear) Hawkes processes without the recourse to a Poisson measure.
Given a Poisson process on a d-dimensional torus, its random geometric simplicial complex is the complex whose vertices are the points of the Poisson process and simplices are given by the C̆ech complex associated to the coverage of each point. By means of Malliavin calculus, we compute explicitly the three first-order moments of the number of k-simplices, and provide a way to compute higher-order moments. Then we derive the mean and the variance of the Euler characteristic. Using the Stein method, we estimate the speed of convergence of the number of occurrences of any connected subcomplex as it converges towards the Gaussian law when the intensity of the Poisson point process tends to infinity. We use a concentration inequality for Poisson processes to find bounds for the tail distribution of the Betti number of first order and the Euler characteristic in such simplicial complexes.
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