For sustainable growth, macro policy makers will need to look at risk management in banking industry and impacts of macro factors on market risk in order to adjust policies and build risk management culture in banking system. What we need to adjust in trade balance, risk free rate and other policies? This is one of reasons for us to conduct this study.This paper measures the Beta CAPM in famous model under impacts of both macro internal and external variables during low inflation time 2015-2020 in the country. The evidence is the fundamental role of risk management in commercial bank has been increasing with new perspectives in management, corporate governance and risk management models. We will estimate effects in risk measurement of one of big listed Vietnam commercial bank, Asia commercial bank (ACB) during the low inflation period 2015-2020 with semiannual data. Through using analysis, synthesis statistics methods, and dialectical materialism method, combined with econometric model with 9 macro variables, we figure out that CPI has a positive correlation with Beta CAPM of ACB, while Risk free rate (Rf) and lending rate have negative correlation with Beta CAPM of the bank. It implies that increase in inflation, together with decrease in Rf and lending rate will increase market risk.Then, one of its major findings is the suggestion of macro and risk management policies for bank and relevant government agencies. Our recommendation can be used for reference and expand researches in many other emerging markets.
The study was conducted to assess the impact of the banking sector's concentration on the banking system's stability in Emerging and growth-leading economies (EAGLEs). In addition, the study also analyzed the role of macroeconomic factors in bank stability. By applying Bayesian multivariate linear regression, the posterior probability results show that money supply growth and credit growth erode the soundness of the banking system. On the other hand, economic growth helps to improve banking stability, but this effect is not obvious; surprisingly, inflation also increases the banking stability of the Emerging and growth-leading economies. Finally, the study shows that the equity ratio to total assets has a reverse relationship with bank stability. Due to data limitations, this study has not yet examined the role of macroprudential policy instruments in maintaining banking stability. Hence, in future studies, besides the factors considered in this study, we should focus on analyzing the impact of macroprudential policy instruments on banking stability.
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