Background: Small hepatocellular carcinoma (sHCC) is a special subtype of HCC with the maximum tumor diameter ≤ 3 cm and excellent long-term outcomes. Surgical resection or radiofrequency ablation provides the greatest chance for cure; however, many patients still undergo tumor recurrence after primary treatment. To date, there is no clinical applicable method to assess biological aggressiveness in solitary sHCC. Methods: In the current study, we retrospectively evaluated tumor necrosis of 335 patients with solitary sHCC treated with hepatectomy between December 1998 and 2010 from Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center. Results: The presence of tumor necrosis was observed in 157 of 335 (46.9%) sHCC patients. Further correlation analysis showed that tumor necrosis was significantly correlated with tumor size and vascular invasion (P = 0.026, 0.003, respectively). The presence of tumor necrosis was associated closely with poorer cancer-specific overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) as evidenced by univariate (P < 0.001; hazard ratio, 2.821; 95% CI, 1.643-4.842) and multivariate analysis (P = 0.005; hazard ratio, 2.208; 95% CI, 1.272-3.833). Notably, the combined model by tumor necrosis, vascular invasion and tumor size can significantly stratify the risk for RFS and OS and improve the ability to discriminate sHCC patients' outcomes (P < 0.0001 for both). Conclusions: Our results provide evidence that tumor necrosis has the potential to be a parameter for cancer aggressiveness in solitary sHCC. The combined prognostic model may be a useful tool to identify solitary sHCC patients with worse outcomes.
Background Hepatic artery infusion chemotherapy (HAIC) and anti-programmed cell death protein-1 (PD-1) immunotherapy have shown promising outcomes in patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), respectively. However, the combination of the two treatments has not been reported. In this study, we compared the efficacy of HAIC combined with anti-PD-1 immunotherapy (HAICAP) and HAIC in patients with advanced HCC. Methods Between November 2018 and December 2019, advanced HCC patients that were treated with either HAICAP or HAIC were retrospectively recruited and reviewed for eligibility. Efficacy was evaluated according to tumor response and survival. Results As a result, 229 patients were included in this study. Patients were divided into HAICAP group (n = 81) and HAIC group (n = 148) accordingly. The follow-up time ranged from 1.0 to 21.6 months, with a median of 11.0 months. The median overall survival was 18.0 months in the HAICAP group and 14.6 months in the HAIC group (p = 0.018; HR = 0.62; 95% CI 0.34–0.91). The median progression-free survival was 10.0 months in the HAICAP group and 5.6 months in the HAIC group (p = 0.006; HR = 0.65; 95% CI 0.43–0.87). The disease control rate in overall response (83% vs 66%; p = 0.006) and intrahepatic response (85% vs 74%, respectively; p = 0.045) were higher in the HAICAP group than in the HAIC group. Conclusion In comparison to HAIC, HAICAP was associated with a better treatment response and survival benefits for patients with advanced HCC.
Key Points Question Could integrating distinct vascular patterns with other crucial variables accurately predict recurrence risk in patients undergoing radical hepatectomy for hepatocellular carcinoma? Findings In this multicenter prognostic cohort study of 498 patients undergoing radical hepatectomy, a multivariate model was developed and validated to reliably predict recurrence risk. A relative risk score exhibiting significantly better discrimination than conventional systems and dividing patients into significantly different prognostic groups and an absolute risk nomogram exhibiting satisfactory calibration were generated. Meaning The findings suggest that by integrating distinct vascular patterns, the model-derived risk score and nomogram could enable individualized prognostication of recurrence risk for patients receiving radical hepatectomy.
PURPOSE To report the efficacy and safety of postoperative adjuvant hepatic arterial infusion chemotherapy (HAIC) with 5-fluorouracil and oxaliplatin (FOLFOX) in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients with microvascular invasion (MVI). PATIENTS AND METHODS In this randomized, open-label, multicenter trial, histologically confirmed HCC patients with MVI were randomly assigned (1:1) to receive adjuvant FOLFOX-HAIC (treatment group) or routine follow-up (control group). The primary end point was disease-free survival (DFS) by intention-to-treat (ITT) analysis while secondary end points were overall survival, recurrence rate, and safety. RESULTS Between June 2016 and August 2021, a total of 315 patients (ITT population) at five centers were randomly assigned to the treatment group (n = 157) or the control group (n = 158). In the ITT population, the median DFS was 20.3 months (95% CI, 10.4 to 30.3) in the treatment group versus 10.0 months (95% CI, 6.8 to 13.2) in the control group (hazard ratio, 0.59; 95% CI, 0.43 to 0.81; P = .001). The overall survival rates at 1 year, 2 years, and 3 years were 93.8% (95% CI, 89.8 to 98.1), 86.4% (95% CI, 80.0 to 93.2), and 80.4% (95% CI, 71.9 to 89.9) for the treatment group and 92.0% (95% CI, 87.6 to 96.7), 86.0% (95% CI, 79.9 to 92.6), and 74.9% (95% CI, 65.5 to 85.7) for the control group (hazard ratio, 0.64; 95% CI, 0.36 to 1.14; P = .130), respectively. The recurrence rates were 40.1% (63/157) in the treatment group and 55.7% (88/158) in the control group. Majority of the adverse events were grade 0-1 (83.8%), with no treatment-related death in both groups. CONCLUSION Postoperative adjuvant HAIC with FOLFOX significantly improved the DFS benefits with acceptable toxicities in HCC patients with MVI.
We examine how war and rivalry affect state building in the Middle East. We argue that wars and rivalries promote state capacity, defined as the ability of a government to penetrate society for the purposes of resource extraction. Using cross-national time-series data for eighteen Middle Eastern countries from 1960 to 2003, we find that the structural pressure caused by the presence of international and domestic rivals augments extractive capacity. Conversely, both international and civil wars jeopardize state building in the Middle East. Furthermore, the negative effects of war upon state capacity are far greater than the constructive effects of rivalry.
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