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Accurate mapping of winter wheat over a large area is of great significance for guiding policy formulation related to food security, farmland management, and the international food trade. Due to the complex phenological features of winter wheat, the cloud contamination in time-series imagery, and the influence of the soil/snow background on vegetation indices, there remains no effective method for mapping winter wheat at a medium spatial resolution (10–30 m). In this study, we proposed a novel method called phenology-time weighted dynamic time warping (PT-DTW) for identifying winter wheat based on Sentinel 2A/B time-series data. The main advantages of PT-DTW include (1) the use of phenological features in two periods, i.e., the greenness increase before winter and greenness decrease after heading, which are common to all winter wheat and are distinct from the features of other land cover types, and (2) the use of the normalized differential phenology index (NDPI) instead of traditional vegetation indices to provide more robust vegetation information and to suppress the adverse impacts of soil and snow cover, especially during the before-winter growth period. The proposed PT-DTW method was employed for winter wheat mapping based on Sentinel 2A/B data on the Huang-Huai Plain, China. Validation with visually interpreted samples showed that the produced winter wheat map achieved an overall classification accuracy of 89.98% and a kappa coefficient of 0.7978, outperforming previous winter wheat classification methods. Moreover, the planting area derived from PT-DTW agreed well with census data at the municipal level, with a coefficient of determination of 0.8638, indicating that the winter wheat map produced at 20 m resolution was reliable overall. Therefore, the PT-DTW method is recommended for winter wheat mapping over large areas.

As an important land-surface parameter, vegetation phenology has been estimated from observations by various satellite-borne sensors with substantially different spatial resolutions, ranging from tens of meters to several kilometers. The inconsistency of satellite-derived phenological metrics (e.g., green-up date, GUD, also known as the land-surface spring phenology) among different spatial resolutions, which is referred to as the “scale effect” on GUD, has been recognized in previous studies, but it still needs further efforts to explore the cause of the scale effect on GUD and to quantify the scale effect mechanistically. To address these issues, we performed mathematical analyses and designed up-scaling experiments. We found that the scale effect on GUD is not only related to the heterogeneity of GUD among fine pixels within a coarse pixel, but it is also greatly affected by the covariation between the GUD and vegetation growth speed of fine pixels. GUD of a coarse pixel tends to be closer to that of fine pixels with earlier green-up and higher vegetation growth speed. Therefore, GUD of the coarse pixel is earlier than the average of GUD of fine pixels, if the growth speed is a constant. However, GUD of the coarse pixel could be later than the average from fine pixels, depending on the proportion of fine pixels with later GUD and higher growth speed. Based on those mechanisms, we proposed a model that accounted for the effects of heterogeneity of GUD and its co-variation with growth speed, which explained about 60% of the scale effect, suggesting that the model can help convert GUD estimated at different spatial scales. Our study provides new mechanistic explanations of the scale effect on GUD.

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