IMPORTANCE Sudden cardiac death (SCD) is the most common mode of death in childhood hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM), but there is no validated algorithm to identify those at highest risk. OBJECTIVE To develop and validate an SCD risk prediction model that provides individualized risk estimates. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS A prognostic model was developed from a retrospective, multicenter, longitudinal cohort study of 1024 consecutively evaluated patients aged 16 years or younger with HCM. The study was conducted from January 1, 1970, to December 31, 2017. EXPOSURES The model was developed using preselected predictor variables (unexplained syncope, maximal left-ventricular wall thickness, left atrial diameter, left-ventricular outflow tract gradient, and nonsustained ventricular tachycardia) identified from the literature and internally validated using bootstrapping. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES A composite outcome of SCD or an equivalent event (aborted cardiac arrest, appropriate implantable cardioverter defibrillator therapy, or sustained ventricular tachycardia associated with hemodynamic compromise). RESULTS Of the 1024 patients included in the study, 699 were boys (68.3%); mean (interquartile range [IQR]) age was 11 (7-14) years. Over a median follow-up of 5.3 years (IQR, 2.6-8.3; total patient years, 5984), 89 patients (8.7%) died suddenly or had an equivalent event (annual event rate, 1.49; 95% CI, 1.15-1.92). The pediatric model was developed using preselected variables to predict the risk of SCD. The model's ability to predict risk at 5 years was validated; the C statistic was 0.69 (95% CI, 0.66-0.72), and the calibration slope was 0.98 (95% CI, 0.59-1.38). For every 10 implantable cardioverter defibrillators implanted in patients with 6% or more of a 5-year SCD risk, 1 patient may potentially be saved from SCD at 5 years. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE This new, validated risk stratification model for SCD in childhood HCM may provide individualized estimates of risk at 5 years using readily obtained clinical risk factors. External validation studies are required to demonstrate the accuracy of this model's predictions in diverse patient populations.
To date limited data are available to predict the progression to end-stage heart failure (HF) with subsequent death (non-SCD), need for heart transplantation, or sudden cardiac death (SCD) in children with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM). We aimed to determine predictors of long-term outcome in children with HCM. A total of 112 children (median 14.1, IQR 7.8–16.6 years) were followed up for the median of 6.5 years for the development of morbidity and mortality, including arrhythmic and HF-related secondary end points. HF end point included HF-related death or heart transplant, and arrhythmic end point included resuscitated cardiac arrest, appropriate ICD discharge, or SCD. Overall, 23 (21 %) patients reached the pre-defined composite primary end point. At 10-year follow-up, the event-free survival rate was 76 %. Thirteen patients (12 %) reached the secondary arrhythmic end point, and 10 patients (9 %) reached the secondary HF end point. In multivariate model, prior cardiac arrest (r = 0.658), QTc dispersion (r = 0.262), and NSVT (r = 0.217) were independent predictors of the arrhythmic secondary end point, while HF (r = 0.440), LV posterior wall thickness (r = 0.258), LA size (r = 0.389), and decreased early transmitral flow velocity (r = 0.202) were all independent predictors of the secondary HF end point. There are differences in the risk factors for SCD and for HF-related death in childhood HCM. Only prior cardiac arrest, QTc dispersion, and NSVT predicted arrhythmic outcome in patients aged <18 years. LA size, LV posterior wall thickness, and decreased early transmitral flow velocity were strong independent predictors of HF-related events.
The association of conotruncal heart defects with 22q11.2 chromosomal microdeletions is well established. However, it is not clear whether particular types of conotruncal malformations or additional cardiovascular anomalies are associated with microdeletions. In addition, cardiac surgery outcome in children with conotruncal defects and del22q11.2 is not well described. We prospectively enrolled 214 children with conotruncal defects: 126 with tetralogy of Fallot (TOF), 18 with pulmonary atresia-ventricular septal defect (PA-VSD), 15 with truncus arteriosus communis (TAC) type I, one with interrupted aortic arch (IAA) type B, and 54 with the transposition of great arteries, who were consecutively hospitalized at the Pediatric Cardiology Department between 2003 and 2005. 22q11.2 microdeletion was identified by fluorescence in situ hybridization. The postoperative course following cardiac surgery was compared in patients with TOF and its more severe form, PA-VSD, with/without del22q11.2 (groups A and B) and TAC with/without del22q11.2 (groups C and D). In 15 of 214 patients, 22q11.2 microdeletion was diagnosed (in 11 with TOF/PA-VSD, in three with TAC, in one with IAA type B). In patients with TOF/PA-VSD and microdeletion anatomic features that were significantly associated with 22q11.2, deletion included right aortic arch (p = 0.018), aberrant right subclavian artery (p < 0.001), and major aortopulmonary collateral arteries (p = 0.016). A complicated postoperative course was more frequent and mortality was higher in patients with conotruncal defects and with/without microdeletion. We conclude that additional cardiovascular anomalies are significantly more frequent in children with 22q11.2 microdeletion and TOF/PA-VSD. Children with conotruncal heart defects and 22q11.2 microdeletion more frequently experienced complicated postoperative course after cardiac surgery.
the proposed concept of a lifelong calculated follow-up is a useful strategy in the risk stratification of SD. Multiple FHSD is a very ominous risk factor with strong impact, predicting frequent SD episodes in the early period of life.
Restrictive cardiomyopathy is a rare form of pediatric cardiac disease, for which the known genes include MYH7, TNNT2, TNNI3, ACTC1, and DES. We describe a pediatric proband with fatal restrictive cardiomyopathy associated with septal hypertrophy and compound heterozygosity for TNNC1 mutations (NM_003280: p.A8V [c.C23T] and p.D145E [c.C435A]). This association between restrictive cardiomyopathy and TNNC1 mutations was strengthened by prospective observations on the second pregnancy in the family which revealed, in the presence of the same TNNC1 genotype, prenatally diagnosed hypertrophic cardiomyopathy which evolved into restrictive cardiomyopathy, heart failure and death at the age of 9 months. Contrary to previous reports, family and population analyses showed that each of the TNNC1 variants was not pathogenic when present alone. Our results (i) confirm that genetic backgrounds of hypertrophic cardiomyopathy and restrictive cardiomyopathy overlap and (ii) indicate that TNNC1 is a likely novel gene for autosomal recessive restrictive cardiomyopathy. © 2016 Wiley Periodicals, Inc.
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